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Finland U17 vs Lithuania U17

World World

Friendly International
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Siaudvytis S.
79' Event
Kald M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Finland U17 and Lithuania U17 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Finland U17
6%
Draws
4%
Lithuania U17
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Finland U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Finland U17 come out ahead of Lithuania U17 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Finland U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Finland U17 Clean Sheet 12%
Lithuania U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U17 Lithuania U17
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Friendly International
Finland U17 vs Lithuania U17
1:1
Jun 27, 2025 Friendly International
Finland U17 vs Lithuania U17
3:1
Jun 28, 2024 Friendly International
Lithuania U17 vs Finland U17
3:2
Jun 30, 2023 Friendly International
Lithuania U17 vs Finland U17
1:3
Jul 1, 2022 Friendly International
Finland U17 vs Lithuania U17
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Lithuania U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Siaudvytis S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U17 83 / 100
Lithuania U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U17 Lithuania U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lithuania U17 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Finland U17 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Finland U17 found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Finland U17 VS Lithuania U17
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%