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Finland U17 W vs France U17 W

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women 2026 The Showgrounds
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Collin M.
31' Event
Niakate D.
45' Event
Adedini R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Euro U17 Women 2026 game between Finland U17 W and France U17 W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward France U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Finland U17 W
11%
Draws
80%
France U17 W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: France U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • France U17 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives France U17 W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 Women 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and France U17 W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Finland U17 W Clean Sheet 16%
France U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U17 W France U17 W
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 16 22
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 3 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Euro U17 Women
Finland U17 W vs France U17 W
1:4
May 3, 2022 Euro U17 Women
France U17 W vs Finland U17 W
2:0
Mar 25, 2018 Euro U17 Women
France U17 W vs Finland U17 W
2:2
Mar 26, 2013 Euro U17 Women
France U17 W vs Finland U17 W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahonen H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

France U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Collin M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Niakate D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U17 W 11 / 100
France U17 W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U17 W France U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Finland U17 W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

France U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 36 matches.

Finland U17 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finland U17 W VS France U17 W
3 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U17 W32014:26
2Norway U17 W31115:44
3England U17 W31113:24
4Northern Ireland U17 W31021:53
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France U17 W330010:19
2Spain U17 W32018:26
3Poland U17 W31022:93
4Finland U17 W30031:90