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Finland U18 vs Lithuania U18

World World

Friendly International 2024
Sun, Jun 16, 2024
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Finland U18 host Lithuania U18 in the Friendly International 2024. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Finland U18 at 1.59 goals for, 1.59 against; Lithuania U18 at 0.93 for, 1.55 against. Past meetings favor Finland U18 slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 16, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.96 xG vs 0.94) point toward Finland U18. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Finland U18
30%
Draws
31%
Lithuania U18
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Finland U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Finland U18's 1.59 goals per match outpaces what Lithuania U18 have produced (0.93).
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Finland U18 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Finland U18 Clean Sheet 20%
Lithuania U18 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U18 Lithuania U18
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.59 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2024 Friendly International
Finland U18 vs Lithuania U18
0:0
Nov 17, 2021 Friendly International
Lithuania U18 vs Finland U18
1:1
Nov 16, 2021 Friendly International
Lithuania U18 vs Finland U18
0:2
Aug 6, 2011 Friendly International
Lithuania U18 vs Finland U18
4:1
Aug 4, 2011 Friendly International
Lithuania U18 vs Finland U18
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U18 58 / 100
Lithuania U18 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U18 Lithuania U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland U18's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Lithuania U18 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Finland U18 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Finland U18 VS Lithuania U18
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.67
50% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland U18

(Home)
09 Jun
Finland U18
3 : 1
Norway U18
06 Jun
Finland U18
3 : 1
Turkey U18
04 Jun
Ukraine U18
0 : 0
Finland U18
15 Nov
Denmark U18
1 : 2
Finland U18
13 Nov
Denmark U18
2 : 1
Finland U18
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Lithuania U18

(Away)
23 Mar
Malta U18
0 : 1
Lithuania U18
21 Mar
Malta U18
2 : 2
Lithuania U18
18 Jun
Lithuania U18
2 : 1
Estonia U18
17 Nov
Lithuania U18
1 : 1
Finland U18
16 Nov
Lithuania U18
0 : 2
Finland U18
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