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Finland U21 vs Iceland U21

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Johannsson D.
46'
Sub
Gudmundsson E. In: Kjartansson O.
Out: Gudmundsson E.
46'
Sub
Gudmundsson O. In: Orvarsson O.
Out: Gudmundsson O.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Finland U21 and Iceland U21 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iceland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Finland U21
20%
Draws
35%
Iceland U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Finland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Finland U21 come out ahead of Iceland U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Finland U21 a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Finland U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Iceland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U21 Iceland U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.23 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2023 Friendly International
Finland U21 vs Iceland U21
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hudd R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Meriluoto K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Iceland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wohler E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Omarsson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U21 84 / 100
Iceland U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U21 Iceland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Finland U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Finland U21 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Iceland U21 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Finland U21 VS Iceland U21
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland U21

(Home)
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Finland U21
3 : 0
Cyprus U21
26 Mar
San Marino U21
0 : 8
Finland U21
18 Nov
Finland U21
0 : 0
Kosovo U21
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Iceland U21

(Away)
30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1
Iceland U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2
Estonia U21
13 Nov
Luxembourg U21
1 : 3
Iceland U21
14 Oct
Iceland U21
2 : 1
Luxembourg U21
10 Oct
Switzerland U21
0 : 0
Iceland U21
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