Sport Picks
Finland U21 vs Netherlands U21
Europe
Euro U21 2025 Košická futbalová aréna, Košice 
Match Events
1'
1'
Koski V.
19'
19'
Markhiev A.
25'
25'
Terho C.
Assist: Vaananen S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Finland U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Netherlands U21 lately — more wins on the board than Finland U21.
- Win probability leans Finland U21's way, sitting at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Netherlands U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Finland U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Netherlands U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Finland U21 | Netherlands U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 3.5 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 12, 2025 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Netherlands U21
2:2
Mar 24, 2017 Friendly International
Netherlands U21 vs Finland U21
2:0
Oct 9, 2009 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Netherlands U21
0:1
Sep 4, 2009 Euro U21
Netherlands U21 vs Finland U21
2:0
Jun 6, 2005 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Netherlands U21
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Finland U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Terho C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Keskinen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75
Netherlands U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Valente L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Poku E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Finland U21 85 / 100
Netherlands U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Finland U21 Netherlands U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Finland U21's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Finland U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Netherlands U21 let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Finland U21 VS Netherlands U21
3.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Finland U21
(Home) 08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2 Finland U21
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3 Finland U21
31 Mar
Finland U21
3 : 0 Cyprus U21
26 Mar
San Marino U21
0 : 8 Finland U21
18 Nov
Finland U21
0 : 0 Kosovo U21
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31 Mar
Finland U21
3 : 0 Cyprus U21
18 Nov
Finland U21
0 : 0 Kosovo U21
14 Nov
Finland U21
2 : 0 Romania U21
04 Sept
Finland U21
7 : 0 San Marino U21
15 Jun
Finland U21
0 : 2 Ukraine U21
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Netherlands U21
(Away) 30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1 Belgium U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2 Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1 Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0 Slovenia U21
14 Oct
Netherlands U21
2 : 0 Lithuania U21
Page 1 of 6
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2 Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1 Netherlands U21
10 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0 : 0 Netherlands U21
25 Jun
England U21
2 : 1 Netherlands U21
21 Jun
Portugal U21
0 : 1 Netherlands U21
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Italy U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Slovakia U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Romania U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 2 | England U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Czech Republic U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Slovenia U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:0 | 7 |
| 2 | France U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Georgia U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Poland U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 2 | Netherlands U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Ukraine U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Finland U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 2 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
