Sport Picks
Finland U21 vs Netherlands U21
Europe
Euro U21 2025 Košická futbalová aréna, Košice 
Match Events
1'
1'
Koski V.
19'
19'
Markhiev A.
25'
25'
Terho C.
Assist: Vaananen S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
15%
35%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Netherlands U21 lately — more wins on the board than Finland U21.
- Win probability leans Finland U21's way, sitting at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Netherlands U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Finland U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Netherlands U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Finland U21 | Netherlands U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.36 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 12, 2025 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Netherlands U21
2:2
Mar 24, 2017 Friendly International
Netherlands U21 vs Finland U21
2:0
Oct 9, 2009 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Netherlands U21
0:1
Sep 4, 2009 Euro U21
Netherlands U21 vs Finland U21
2:0
Jun 6, 2005 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Netherlands U21
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Finland U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Terho C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Keskinen T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Netherlands U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Valente L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Poku E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Finland U21 85 / 100
Netherlands U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Finland U21 Netherlands U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Finland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Finland U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Finland U21 scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Netherlands U21 let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Finland U21 VS Netherlands U21
3.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Finland U21
(Home) 08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2 Finland U21
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3 Finland U21
31 Mar
Finland U21
3 : 0 Cyprus U21
26 Mar
San Marino U21
0 : 8 Finland U21
18 Nov
Finland U21
0 : 0 Kosovo U21
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31 Mar
Finland U21
3 : 0 Cyprus U21
18 Nov
Finland U21
0 : 0 Kosovo U21
14 Nov
Finland U21
2 : 0 Romania U21
04 Sept
Finland U21
7 : 0 San Marino U21
15 Jun
Finland U21
0 : 2 Ukraine U21
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Netherlands U21
(Away) 30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1 Belgium U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2 Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1 Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0 Slovenia U21
14 Oct
Netherlands U21
2 : 0 Lithuania U21
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27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2 Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1 Netherlands U21
10 Oct
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0 : 0 Netherlands U21
25 Jun
England U21
2 : 1 Netherlands U21
21 Jun
Portugal U21
0 : 1 Netherlands U21
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Italy U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Slovakia U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Romania U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 2 | England U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Czech Republic U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Slovenia U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:0 | 7 |
| 2 | France U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Georgia U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Poland U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 2 | Netherlands U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Ukraine U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Finland U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 2 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
