Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Finland U21 vs Slovenia U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Gloria Spor Kompleksi, Belek
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Pyyhtia N.
Assist: Keskinen T.
46'
Sub
Miettinen T. In: Miettinen S.
Out: Miettinen T.
46'
Sub
Hyrylainen L. In: Arifi D.
Out: Hyrylainen L.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Finland U21 and Slovenia U21 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Finland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Finland U21
30%
Draws
19%
Slovenia U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Finland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Finland U21 come out ahead of Slovenia U21 on wins alone.
  • Finland U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Finland U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Slovenia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U21 Slovenia U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.23 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 Friendly International
Finland U21 vs Slovenia U21
1:0
Jun 20, 2023 Friendly International
Slovenia U21 vs Finland U21
1:0
Jun 6, 2017 Friendly International
Finland U21 vs Slovenia U21
1:0
Jun 5, 2012 Euro U21
Slovenia U21 vs Finland U21
1:1
Aug 10, 2011 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Slovenia U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pyyhtia N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Slovenia U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U21 95 / 100
Slovenia U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U21 Slovenia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Finland U21 scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Slovenia U21 conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Finland U21 VS Slovenia U21
3.13 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland U21

(Home)
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Finland U21
3 : 0
Cyprus U21
26 Mar
San Marino U21
0 : 8
Finland U21
18 Nov
Finland U21
0 : 0
Kosovo U21
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Slovenia U21

(Away)
05 Jun
Slovenia U21
1 : 1
Albania U21
31 Mar
Slovenia U21
2 : 0
Norway U21
27 Mar
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0 : 0
Slovenia U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Slovenia U21
14 Oct
Slovenia U21
0 : 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
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