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Stadium Background

Finland U21 vs Ukraine U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Košická futbalová aréna, Košice
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Vanat V.
46'
Sub
Markhiev A. In: Skytta N.
Out: Markhiev A.
49' Event
Bragaru M.
Assist: Veleten V.

AI Match Summary

Ukraine U21 in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ukraine U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Finland U21
20%
Draws
19%
Ukraine U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Finland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Finland U21 have won more games recently than Ukraine U21.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Finland U21 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Finland U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Ukraine U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U21 Ukraine U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.3 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2025 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Ukraine U21
0:2
Sep 8, 2020 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Ukraine U21
0:2
Sep 6, 2019 Euro U21
Ukraine U21 vs Finland U21
0:2
Jun 8, 2017 Friendly International
Ukraine U21 vs Finland U21
0:1
Jun 9, 2012 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Ukraine U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Ukraine U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vanat V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bragaru M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U21 85 / 100
Ukraine U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U21 Ukraine U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Finland U21 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Finland U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ukraine U21 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Finland U21 VS Ukraine U21
3.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland U21

(Home)
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Finland U21
3 : 0
Cyprus U21
26 Mar
San Marino U21
0 : 8
Finland U21
18 Nov
Finland U21
0 : 0
Kosovo U21
Page 1 of 6

Ukraine U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
31 Mar
Hungary U21
1 : 2
Ukraine U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
17 Nov
Albania U21
2 : 0
Ukraine U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Italy U21 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 Slovakia U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Romania U21 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 England U21 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Czech Republic U21 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Slovenia U21 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
2 France U21 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Georgia U21 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Poland U21 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
2 Netherlands U21 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Ukraine U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Finland U21 3 0 2 1 4:6 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)