Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Helsinki Olympic Stadium, Helsinki

Finland

0 - 1

Malta

Our Tip

Match Events

61'

Sub

Pohjanpalo J. In: Lod R.

Out: Pohjanpalo J.

65'

Sub

Mbong J. In: Overend A.

Out: Mbong J.

73'

Sub

Markhiev A. In: Skytta N.

Out: Markhiev A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Malta in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Finland

15%

Draws

28%

Malta

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

Finland have won more games recently than Malta.
57% — that's where the model lands on Finland taking it.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Finland have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

Finland Clean Sheet 68%

Malta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Finland	Malta
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	9	7
Draws	2	5
Losses	19	17
Goals Scored	1.1	0.69
Goals Conceded	1.8	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	2.06	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 World Championship

Finland vs Malta

0:1

Mar 21, 2025 World Championship

Malta vs Finland

0:1

Mar 26, 2018 Friendly International

Finland vs Malta

5:0

Mar 3, 2010 Friendly International

Malta vs Finland

1:2

Mar 31, 2004 Friendly International

Malta vs Finland

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58

Avg xA / game 1.03

Malta Compare

Top Goalscorer Grech J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland 59 / 100

Malta 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Finland Malta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Finland scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Malta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Malta's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Finland VS Malta

1.25 Goals Scored 1

1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland

(Home)

05 Jun

Hungary

2 : 1

Finland

31 May

Germany

4 : 0

Finland

30 Mar

Cape Verde

2 : 1

Finland

27 Mar

New Zealand

0 : 2

Finland

17 Nov

Finland

4 : 0

Andorra

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Malta

(Away)

05 Jun

Azerbaijan

0 : 2

Malta

01 Jun

Slovakia

2 : 1

Malta

31 Mar

Luxembourg

3 : 0

Malta

26 Mar

Malta

0 : 2

Luxembourg

17 Nov

Malta

2 : 3

Poland

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