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Finland W vs Hungary W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Tammelan Stadion
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Match Events

18' Event
Koivisto E.
Assist: Lehtola N.
39' Event
Sallstrom L.
Assist: Ahtinen O.
46'
Szabo V.

AI Match Summary

Finland W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Finland W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Finland W
6%
Draws
90%
Hungary W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hungary W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Finland W lately — more wins on the board than Hungary W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Hungary W taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Finland W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Finland W Clean Sheet 10%
Hungary W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland W Hungary W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.38 2.75
Goals Conceded 2 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Finland W vs Hungary W
3:0
Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Hungary W vs Finland W
0:1
Feb 19, 2023 International Tournament (Cyprus) Women
Finland W vs Hungary W
8:0
Mar 7, 2018 International Tournament (Cyprus) Women
Hungary W vs Finland W
0:2
Apr 10, 2014 World Cup Women
Finland W vs Hungary W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Koivisto E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sallstrom L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Hungary W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland W 10 / 100
Hungary W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland W Hungary W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Finland W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Finland W found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Hungary W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Finland W VS Hungary W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Poland W651016:216
2Northern Ireland W62226:108
3Bosnia & Herzegovina W61239:125
4Romania W61143:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovenia W650112:215
2Ireland W650110:615
3Turkey W62043:76
4Greece W60062:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Serbia W64207:114
2Finland W63218:211
3Hungary W61142:64
4Belarus W60330:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ukraine W64118:613
2Czech Republic W641117:413
3Albania W620410:126
4Croatia W61054:173