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Finland W vs Latvia W Prediction & H2H Stats

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World Cup Women Bolt Arena, Helsinki
Finland W Logo

Finland W

3 - 1
FT
Latvia W Logo

Latvia W

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sevcova O.
26' Event
Oling R.
Assist: Engman A.
26'
Sub
Voitane S. In: Telukevica M.
Out: Voitane S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Finland W
15%
Draws
0%
Latvia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Finland W have won more games recently than Latvia W.
  • Model gives Finland W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Finland W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Finland W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Finland W Clean Sheet 68%
Latvia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland W Latvia W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 World Cup Women
Latvia W vs Finland W
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 World Cup Women
Finland W vs Latvia W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Oling R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sevenius O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Latvia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersone A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland W 95 / 100
Latvia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland W Latvia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Finland W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Latvia W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Finland W found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Latvia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Finland W VS Latvia W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland W

(Home)
09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1
Portugal W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4
Finland W
18 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 1
Finland W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2
Slovakia W
07 Mar
Finland W
3 : 1
Latvia W
Page 1 of 6

Latvia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Latvia W
1 : 2
Slovakia W
05 Jun
Portugal W
5 : 0
Latvia W
18 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 1
Finland W
14 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 3
Portugal W
07 Mar
Finland W
3 : 1
Latvia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wales W 6 4 2 0 17:5 14
2 Czech Republic W 6 3 2 1 18:8 11
3 Albania W 6 2 1 3 9:14 7
4 Montenegro W 6 0 1 5 6:23 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland W 6 5 1 0 18:5 16
2 Turkey W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
3 Northern Ireland W 6 2 0 4 10:9 6
4 Malta W 6 0 0 6 4:24 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal W 6 5 0 1 17:4 15
2 Finland W 6 5 0 1 15:6 15
3 Slovakia W 6 2 0 4 8:17 6
4 Latvia W 6 0 0 6 4:17 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland W 6 4 2 0 24:2 14
2 Belgium W 6 4 2 0 22:1 14
3 Israel W 6 2 0 4 10:20 6
4 Luxembourg W 6 0 0 6 1:34 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)