Sport Picks
Finland W vs Portugal W
World
World Cup Women Tammelan Stadion, Tampere 
Match Events
12'
12'
Lehtola N.
Assist: Engman A.
13'
13'
Nazareth K.
28'
28'
Koivisto E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
15%
38%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Portugal W come out ahead of Finland W on wins alone.
- 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Portugal W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Finland W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Finland W Clean Sheet 10%
Portugal W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Finland W | Portugal W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 9, 2026 World Cup Women
Finland W vs Portugal W
3:1
Mar 3, 2026 World Cup Women
Portugal W vs Finland W
2:0
Feb 19, 2021 Euro Women
Finland W vs Portugal W
1:0
Nov 12, 2019 Euro Women
Portugal W vs Finland W
1:1
Oct 8, 2018 Friendly International Women
Portugal W vs Finland W
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Finland W Compare
Top Goalscorer Lehtola N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Nystrom E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Portugal W Compare
Top Goalscorer Nazareth K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Finland W 30 / 100
Portugal W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Finland W Portugal W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Portugal W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Finland W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Finland W's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Portugal W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Finland W VS Portugal W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Finland W
(Home) 09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1 Portugal W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4 Finland W
18 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 1 Finland W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2 Slovakia W
07 Mar
Finland W
3 : 1 Latvia W
Page 1 of 7
09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1 Portugal W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2 Slovakia W
07 Mar
Finland W
3 : 1 Latvia W
27 Nov
Finland W
1 : 1 Austria W
24 Oct
Finland W
1 : 6 Denmark W
Page 1 of 3
Portugal W
(Away) 09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1 Portugal W
05 Jun
Portugal W
5 : 0 Latvia W
18 Apr
Slovakia W
1 : 2 Portugal W
14 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 3 Portugal W
07 Mar
Portugal W
4 : 0 Slovakia W
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1 Portugal W
18 Apr
Slovakia W
1 : 2 Portugal W
14 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 3 Portugal W
26 Oct
USA W
3 : 1 Portugal W
23 Oct
USA W
1 : 2 Portugal W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wales W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Czech Republic W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18:8 | 11 |
| 3 | Albania W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 4 | Montenegro W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:23 | 1 |
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Turkey W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Northern Ireland W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Malta W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:24 | 0 |
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Finland W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:6 | 15 |
| 3 | Slovakia W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:17 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:17 | 0 |
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scotland W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24:2 | 14 |
| 2 | Belgium W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 22:1 | 14 |
| 3 | Israel W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:20 | 6 |
| 4 | Luxembourg W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:34 | 0 |
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
