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Finn Harps vs Cork City

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Finn Park
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Finn Harps host Cork City in the Division 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Finn Harps at 0.63 goals for, 2.38 against; Cork City at 2.63 for, 0.13 against. Past meetings favor Cork City slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 0.38 vs 2.50, favoring Cork City. Cork City in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Finn Harps
6%
Draws
90%
Cork City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cork City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cork City have won more games recently than Finn Harps.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Cork City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%
Cork City Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finn Harps Cork City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 20
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 0.63 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Finn Harps
4:0
Apr 3, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Cork City
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 FAI Cup
Finn Harps vs Cork City
0:3
Sep 20, 2024 Division 1
Cork City vs Finn Harps
2:2
Jul 20, 2024 FAI Cup
Cork City vs Finn Harps
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finn Harps 10 / 100
Cork City 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finn Harps Cork City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finn Harps scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Cork City let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Finn Harps stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finn Harps VS Cork City
0.63 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City23173346:1554
2Bray23107646:3037
3UC Dublin23113936:2736
4Longford2387827:3031
5Cobh Ramblers23941025:3231
6Wexford2377927:3228
7Athlone23761021:2727
8Kerry2368924:2926
9Treaty United23581022:3423
10Finn Harps23571120:3822