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Finn Harps vs Athlone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Finn Park, Ballybofey
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Grogan P.
54'
Brennan S.
55'
Sub
Bradley-Walsh J. In: McLaughlin A.
Out: Bradley-Walsh J.

AI Match Summary

Athlone in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Athlone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Finn Harps
20%
Draws
63%
Athlone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Athlone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Athlone lately — more wins on the board than Finn Harps.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Athlone taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%
Athlone Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finn Harps Athlone
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.82 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Athlone
0:1
Jun 26, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Finn Harps
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Athlone
1:2
Feb 13, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Finn Harps
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Athlone
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finn Harps Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Athlone Compare

Top Goalscorer Grogan P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finn Harps 26 / 100
Athlone 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finn Harps Athlone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Athlone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Athlone has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Finn Harps found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Finn Harps went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finn Harps VS Athlone
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Finn Harps

(Home)
02 Oct
Finn Harps
1 : 2
Kerry
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
Page 1 of 6

Athlone

(Away)
02 Oct
Athlone
2 : 1
Cork City
25 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
3 : 3
Athlone
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 34 22 5 7 71:34 71
2 Bray 34 15 8 11 65:49 53
3 UC Dublin 34 15 7 12 61:48 52
4 Cobh Ramblers 34 14 7 13 46:50 49
5 Longford 34 13 9 12 47:45 48
6 Kerry 34 13 9 12 42:40 48
7 Athlone 34 13 9 12 41:40 48
8 Wexford 34 11 8 15 40:51 41
9 Treaty United 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
10 Finn Harps 34 6 7 21 31:68 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)