Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Finn Harps vs Bray

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Finn Park, Ballybofey
Finn Harps Logo

Finn Harps

2 - 1
FT
Bray Logo

Bray

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
O'Shea D.
Own Goal
13'
Cullen J.
35'
Sesay J. B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Finn Harps and Bray finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Finn Harps.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Finn Harps
15%
Draws
59%
Bray
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bray come out ahead of Finn Harps on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%
Bray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finn Harps Bray
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Finn Harps
5:0
Jul 17, 2026 FAI Cup
Finn Harps vs Bray
0:1
May 4, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Bray
2:1
Apr 6, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Finn Harps
2:2
Sep 19, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs Finn Harps
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finn Harps Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Bray Compare

Top Goalscorer Achara I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finn Harps 34 / 100
Bray 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finn Harps Bray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bray Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Bray let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Finn Harps found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Finn Harps remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Finn Harps VS Bray
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Finn Harps

(Home)
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
21 Aug
Finn Harps
1 : 3
Cobh Ramblers
Page 1 of 6

Bray

(Away)
18 Sept
Bray
2 : 0
Treaty United
11 Sept
Kerry
0 : 1
Bray
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
22 Aug
Longford
4 : 2
Bray
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 32 22 5 5 69:30 71
2 Bray 32 14 8 10 61:44 50
3 UC Dublin 32 14 7 11 56:45 49
4 Cobh Ramblers 32 13 6 13 39:46 45
5 Longford 32 12 8 12 42:41 44
6 Athlone 32 12 8 12 36:36 44
7 Kerry 32 11 9 12 39:39 42
8 Wexford 32 11 7 14 37:47 40
9 Treaty United 32 8 9 15 31:47 33
10 Finn Harps 32 6 7 19 29:64 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)