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Finn Harps vs Sligo Rovers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Trialist C

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Finn Harps and Sligo Rovers finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Finn Harps.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Finn Harps
15%
Draws
0%
Sligo Rovers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finn Harps

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Finn Harps haven't matched Sligo Rovers's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Finn Harps a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 11%
Sligo Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finn Harps Sligo Rovers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Sligo Rovers vs Finn Harps
1:0
Jan 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Finn Harps vs Sligo Rovers
1:0
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Sligo Rovers vs Finn Harps
4:0
Feb 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Finn Harps vs Sligo Rovers
2:1
Feb 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Sligo Rovers vs Finn Harps
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finn Harps Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist C
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sligo Rovers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finn Harps 83 / 100
Sligo Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finn Harps Sligo Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finn Harps Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Sligo Rovers registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sligo Rovers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Finn Harps found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Finn Harps VS Sligo Rovers
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Finn Harps

(Home)
02 Oct
Finn Harps
1 : 2
Kerry
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
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Sligo Rovers

(Away)
19 Sept
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1
St. Patricks
14 Sept
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Galway United
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Waterford
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
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