Sport Picks

Ireland

Division 1 Finn Park

Finn Harps

0 - 1

Treaty United

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Conroy C.

45'

Brogan O.

46'

Sub

Lumingo N. In: Bosakani B.

Out: Lumingo N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Treaty United in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Treaty United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Finn Harps

33%

Draws

40%

Treaty United

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Treaty United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Treaty United lately — more wins on the board than Finn Harps.
40% — that's where the model lands on Treaty United taking it.
Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

Finn Harps Clean Sheet 14%

Treaty United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Finn Harps	Treaty United
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	6	9
Draws	8	9
Losses	15	13
Goals Scored	0.75	1
Goals Conceded	2.25	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Division 1

Finn Harps vs Treaty United

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

May 15, 2026 Division 1

Treaty United vs Finn Harps

Possession: 52% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Mar 13, 2026 Division 1

Finn Harps vs Treaty United

Possession: 60% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Aug 29, 2025 Division 1

Finn Harps vs Treaty United

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Jun 27, 2025 Division 1

Treaty United vs Finn Harps

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finn Harps Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Treaty United Compare

Top Goalscorer Conroy C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finn Harps 27 / 100

Treaty United 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Finn Harps Treaty United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finn Harps found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Treaty United conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Finn Harps went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finn Harps VS Treaty United

0.75 Goals Scored 1

2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cork City	23	17	3	3	46:15	54
2	Bray	23	10	7	6	46:30	37
3	UC Dublin	23	11	3	9	36:27	36
4	Longford	23	8	7	8	27:30	31
5	Cobh Ramblers	23	9	4	10	25:32	31
6	Wexford	23	7	7	9	27:32	28
7	Athlone	23	7	6	10	21:27	27
8	Kerry	23	6	8	9	24:29	26
9	Treaty United	23	5	8	10	22:34	23
10	Finn Harps	23	5	7	11	20:38	22