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Finnsnes vs Kongsvinger 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Winther K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 game between Finnsnes and Kongsvinger 2 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Finnsnes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Finnsnes
15%
Draws
57%
Kongsvinger 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kongsvinger 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Kongsvinger 2's 1.83 goals per match outpaces what Finnsnes have produced (1.72).
  • Model gives Finnsnes a 28% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Finnsnes Clean Sheet 12%
Kongsvinger 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finnsnes Kongsvinger 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 2 2
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.72 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Finnsnes vs Kongsvinger 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finnsnes Compare

Top Goalscorer Winther K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Kongsvinger 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finnsnes 83 / 100
Kongsvinger 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finnsnes Kongsvinger 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finnsnes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finnsnes found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Kongsvinger 2 conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Kongsvinger 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Finnsnes VS Kongsvinger 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 3.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Finnsnes

(Home)
26 Sept
Finnsnes
2 : 0
Skjervoy
20 Sept
Floya
3 : 1
Finnsnes
12 Sept
Finnsnes
1 : 2
Alta
06 Sept
Stromsgodset 2
5 : 1
Finnsnes
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
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Kongsvinger 2

(Away)
27 Sept
Kongsvinger 2
2 : 1
Harstad
21 Sept
Tromso 2
6 : 0
Kongsvinger 2
13 Sept
Kongsvinger 2
1 : 5
Floya
06 Sept
Skjervoy
3 : 1
Kongsvinger 2
30 Aug
Kongsvinger 2
2 : 1
Ulfstind
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