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Finnsnes vs Lillestrom 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Bakken T. S.

AI Match Summary

Lillestrom 2 in this Division 3 - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lillestrom 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Finnsnes
20%
Draws
40%
Lillestrom 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lillestrom 2 lately — more wins on the board than Finnsnes.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Lillestrom 2 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Finnsnes Clean Sheet 10%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finnsnes Lillestrom 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 3 1
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.72 3.14
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Finnsnes vs Lillestrom 2
0:1
May 3, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Lillestrom 2 vs Finnsnes
3:2
Sep 1, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Finnsnes
1:2
May 12, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Finnsnes vs Lillestrom 2
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finnsnes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Lillestrom 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakken T. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finnsnes 14 / 100
Lillestrom 2 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finnsnes Lillestrom 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finnsnes scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Lillestrom 2 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Lillestrom 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Finnsnes VS Lillestrom 2
1.38 Goals Scored 3.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Finnsnes

(Home)
03 Oct
Tromso 2
1 : 1
Finnsnes
26 Sept
Finnsnes
2 : 0
Skjervoy
20 Sept
Floya
3 : 1
Finnsnes
12 Sept
Finnsnes
1 : 2
Alta
06 Sept
Stromsgodset 2
5 : 1
Finnsnes
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Lillestrom 2

(Away)
04 Oct
Lillestrom 2
3 : 3
Stromsgodset 2
27 Sept
Alta
8 : 3
Lillestrom 2
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Skedsmo
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
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