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Finnsnes vs Stromsgodset 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Eriksrud M.
90' Event
Bendiksen M.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Lamaj S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 game between Finnsnes and Stromsgodset 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Finnsnes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Finnsnes
15%
Draws
57%
Stromsgodset 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stromsgodset 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Stromsgodset 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Stromsgodset 2 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Finnsnes Clean Sheet 14%
Stromsgodset 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finnsnes Stromsgodset 2
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 2 3
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.71 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Stromsgodset 2 vs Finnsnes
5:1
Jul 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Finnsnes vs Stromsgodset 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finnsnes Compare

Top Goalscorer Lamaj S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Stromsgodset 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Eriksrud M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finnsnes 27 / 100
Stromsgodset 2 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finnsnes Stromsgodset 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stromsgodset 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finnsnes scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Stromsgodset 2 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Stromsgodset 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Finnsnes VS Stromsgodset 2
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Finnsnes

(Home)
12 Sept
Finnsnes
1 : 2
Alta
06 Sept
Stromsgodset 2
5 : 1
Finnsnes
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
16 Aug
Fauske Sprint
1 : 3
Finnsnes
08 Aug
Finnsnes
2 : 3
Bossekop
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Stromsgodset 2

(Away)
14 Sept
Fauske Sprint
5 : 3
Stromsgodset 2
06 Sept
Stromsgodset 2
5 : 1
Finnsnes
31 Aug
Bossekop
2 : 1
Stromsgodset 2
16 Aug
Stromsgodset 2
0 : 1
Skedsmo
10 Aug
Kongsvinger 2
2 : 3
Stromsgodset 2
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