Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Finnsnes vs Ulfstind - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
05:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Finnsnes host Ulfstind in the Division 3 - Group 5. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Finnsnes at 1.72 goals for, 2.1 against; Ulfstind at 1.66 for, 3.38 against. Past meetings favor Finnsnes slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 25, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (2.88 xG vs 1.63) point toward Finnsnes. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Finnsnes
15%
Draws
0%
Ulfstind
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finnsnes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Finnsnes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Finnsnes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Finnsnes Clean Sheet 14%
Ulfstind Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finnsnes Ulfstind
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 3 2
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.72 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.1 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Ulfstind vs Finnsnes
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finnsnes 84 / 100
Ulfstind 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finnsnes Ulfstind

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finnsnes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finnsnes's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ulfstind has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Ulfstind registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finnsnes VS Ulfstind
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 4.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Finnsnes

(Home)
03 Oct
Tromso 2
1 : 1
Finnsnes
26 Sept
Finnsnes
2 : 0
Skjervoy
20 Sept
Floya
3 : 1
Finnsnes
12 Sept
Finnsnes
1 : 2
Alta
06 Sept
Stromsgodset 2
5 : 1
Finnsnes
Page 1 of 6

Ulfstind

(Away)
03 Oct
Ulfstind
0 : 2
Alta
26 Sept
Skedsmo
7 : 0
Ulfstind
19 Sept
Ulfstind
3 : 4
Bossekop
12 Sept
Harstad
6 : 1
Ulfstind
05 Sept
Ulfstind
1 : 6
Fauske Sprint
Page 1 of 6