Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fiorentina vs Frosinone

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fiorentina host Frosinone in the Serie A. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Fiorentina at 1.63 goals for, 0.88 against; Frosinone at 1.75 for, 0.25 against. Past meetings favor Fiorentina slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 11, 2024, ending 5:1. xG projections (0.94 - 1.31) back Frosinone to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Fiorentina
30%
Draws
34%
Frosinone
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fiorentina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Fiorentina haven't matched Frosinone's recent run of results.
  • Fiorentina are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 18%
Frosinone Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina Frosinone
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 19
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 1
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Frosinone
5:1
Sep 28, 2023 Serie A
Frosinone vs Fiorentina
1:1
Apr 7, 2019 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Frosinone
0:1
Nov 9, 2018 Serie A
Frosinone vs Fiorentina
1:1
Mar 20, 2016 Serie A
Frosinone vs Fiorentina
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina 36 / 100
Frosinone 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina Frosinone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Fiorentina remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Frosinone has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina VS Frosinone
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina

(Home)
29 Jul
Watford
0 : 1
Fiorentina
25 Jul
QPR
3 : 2
Fiorentina
22 Jul
Fiorentina
1 : 0
Gubbio
19 Jul
Fiorentina
8 : 1
Fiorentina U20
22 May
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Atalanta
Page 1 of 6

Frosinone

(Away)
29 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Ascoli
22 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0
Frosinone U20
08 May
Frosinone
5 : 0
Mantova
01 May
Juve Stabia
0 : 1
Frosinone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lecce00000:00
2Bologna00000:00
3Frosinone00000:00
4Genoa00000:00
5Napoli00000:00
6Udinese00000:00
7Monza00000:00
8Sassuolo00000:00
9Venezia00000:00
10AS Roma00000:00
11Inter00000:00
12Juventus00000:00
13Fiorentina00000:00
14AC Milan00000:00
15Atalanta00000:00
16Lazio00000:00
17Cagliari00000:00
18Torino00000:00
19Parma00000:00
20Como00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)