Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fiorentina U19 vs AS Roma U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Caprini M.
17' Event
Graziani L.
21' Event
Costa J.

AI Match Summary

AS Roma U19 in this Primavera 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Roma U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Fiorentina U19
15%
Draws
59%
AS Roma U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AS Roma U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Roma U19 lately — more wins on the board than Fiorentina U19.
  • Win probability leans AS Roma U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Fiorentina U19 Clean Sheet 10%
AS Roma U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina U19 AS Roma U19
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 14 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 2.03 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U19 vs AS Roma U19
1:6
Feb 21, 2024 Coppa Italia Primavera
AS Roma U19 vs Fiorentina U19
1:1
Jan 31, 2024 Coppa Italia Primavera
Fiorentina U19 vs AS Roma U19
3:1
Aug 28, 2023 Primavera 1
AS Roma U19 vs Fiorentina U19
1:0
Jun 3, 2023 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U19 vs AS Roma U19
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentina U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Caprini M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

AS Roma U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Graziani L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Costa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina U19 10 / 100
AS Roma U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina U19 AS Roma U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina U19 scored in 91% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

AS Roma U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Fiorentina U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina U19 VS AS Roma U19
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina U19

(Home)
05 Nov
Fiorentina U19
3 : 2
Legia U19
22 Oct
Legia U19
4 : 1
Fiorentina U19
20 Aug
Sassuolo U19
2 : 0
Fiorentina U19
14 Jul
Fiorentina
5 : 2
Fiorentina U19
17 May
Fiorentina U19
2 : 2
Sampdoria U19
Page 1 of 7

AS Roma U19

(Away)
10 Sept
Fenerbahce U19
2 : 4
AS Roma U19
27 Jul
Sorrento
1 : 0
AS Roma U19
31 May
Sassuolo U19
3 : 0
AS Roma U19
28 May
AS Roma U19
3 : 2
Lazio U19
18 May
AS Roma U19
4 : 1
Bologna U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 34 18 13 3 71:31 67
2 AS Roma U19 34 19 8 7 69:38 65
3 Lazio U19 34 16 11 7 45:38 59
4 Atalanta U19 34 16 7 11 58:46 55
5 Sassuolo U19 34 16 6 12 62:61 54
6 AC Milan U19 34 14 9 11 54:44 51
7 Cagliari U19 34 14 8 12 52:58 50
8 Torino U19 34 13 10 11 65:64 49
9 Genoa U19 34 14 5 15 54:51 47
10 Verona U19 34 11 13 10 60:59 46
11 Empoli U19 34 11 12 11 49:49 45
12 Juventus U19 34 11 8 15 45:53 41
13 Lecce U19 34 10 11 13 49:56 41
14 Fiorentina U19 34 9 10 15 52:54 37
15 Bologna U19 34 10 6 18 44:69 36
16 Monza U19 34 7 13 14 51:66 34
17 Sampdoria U19 34 8 8 18 41:58 32
18 Frosinone U19 34 6 8 20 41:67 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Main)