Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fiorentina U19 vs Cagliari U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Baroncelli L.
39'
Arba F.
47'
Baroncelli L.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 2023/2024 game between Fiorentina U19 and Cagliari U19 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cagliari U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Fiorentina U19
20%
Draws
57%
Cagliari U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cagliari U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Fiorentina U19's 2.06 goals per match outpaces what Cagliari U19 have produced (1.55).
  • Win probability leans Cagliari U19's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Fiorentina U19 Clean Sheet 11%
Cagliari U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina U19 Cagliari U19
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.06 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U19 vs Cagliari U19
1:2
Sep 23, 2023 Primavera 1
Cagliari U19 vs Fiorentina U19
1:0
Feb 19, 2023 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U19 vs Cagliari U19
1:0
Aug 30, 2022 Primavera 1
Cagliari U19 vs Fiorentina U19
1:1
Feb 20, 2022 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U19 vs Cagliari U19
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentina U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baroncelli L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cagliari U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolzan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina U19 18 / 100
Cagliari U19 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina U19 Cagliari U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cagliari U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina U19's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cagliari U19 conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fiorentina U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina U19 VS Cagliari U19
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina U19

(Home)
05 Nov
Fiorentina U19
3 : 2
Legia U19
22 Oct
Legia U19
4 : 1
Fiorentina U19
20 Aug
Sassuolo U19
2 : 0
Fiorentina U19
14 Jul
Fiorentina
5 : 2
Fiorentina U19
17 May
Fiorentina U19
2 : 2
Sampdoria U19
Page 1 of 7

Cagliari U19

(Away)
19 Jul
Cagliari
3 : 0
Cagliari U19
19 May
Verona U19
3 : 5
Cagliari U19
11 May
Cagliari U19
2 : 1
Genoa U19
05 May
Fiorentina U19
1 : 2
Cagliari U19
28 Apr
Cagliari U19
1 : 1
Lecce U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 34 18 13 3 71:31 67
2 AS Roma U19 34 19 8 7 69:38 65
3 Lazio U19 34 16 11 7 45:38 59
4 Atalanta U19 34 16 7 11 58:46 55
5 Sassuolo U19 34 16 6 12 62:61 54
6 AC Milan U19 34 14 9 11 54:44 51
7 Cagliari U19 34 14 8 12 52:58 50
8 Torino U19 34 13 10 11 65:64 49
9 Genoa U19 34 14 5 15 54:51 47
10 Verona U19 34 11 13 10 60:59 46
11 Empoli U19 34 11 12 11 49:49 45
12 Juventus U19 34 11 8 15 45:53 41
13 Lecce U19 34 10 11 13 49:56 41
14 Fiorentina U19 34 9 10 15 52:54 37
15 Bologna U19 34 10 6 18 44:69 36
16 Monza U19 34 7 13 14 51:66 34
17 Sampdoria U19 34 8 8 18 41:58 32
18 Frosinone U19 34 6 8 20 41:67 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Main)