Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fiorentina U20 vs Parma U20

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026 Curva Fiesole - Viola Park, Bagno a Ripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

64'
Sub
Bertolini G. In: Kone M.
Out: Bertolini G.
65'
Balbo L.
68'
Sub
Plicco E. In: Castaldo A.
Out: Plicco E.

AI Match Summary

Fiorentina U20 in this Primavera 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Fiorentina U20
35%
Draws
55%
Parma U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Parma U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Fiorentina U20 have won more games recently than Parma U20.
  • Win probability leans Parma U20's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Fiorentina U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fiorentina U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Fiorentina U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Parma U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina U20 Parma U20
Matches Played 37 34
Wins 18 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.49 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 vs Parma U20
2:1
Jan 20, 2026 Primavera 1
Parma U20 vs Fiorentina U20
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 vs Parma U20
2:1
Jan 12, 2013 Primavera - Group A
Parma U20 vs Fiorentina U20
2:1
Aug 26, 2012 Primavera - Group A
Fiorentina U20 vs Parma U20
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentina U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouadio E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Parma U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikolajewski D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina U20 14 / 100
Parma U20 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina U20 Parma U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parma U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina U20 scored in 84% of their last 37 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Parma U20 has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Recent resilience: Fiorentina U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina U20 VS Parma U20
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1
Fiorentina U20
13 Sept
Fiorentina U20
0 : 1
Empoli U20
09 Sept
Fiorentina U20
3 : 4
Atalanta U20
05 Sept
Genoa U20
3 : 3
Fiorentina U20
31 Aug
Fiorentina U20
0 : 1
Verona U20
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Parma U20

(Away)
20 Sept
Parma U20
2 : 2
Cagliari U20
11 Sept
Parma U20
2 : 1
Genoa U20
05 Sept
Lazio U20
0 : 1
Parma U20
28 Aug
Parma U20
4 : 0
Sassuolo U20
22 Aug
Juventus U20
2 : 2
Parma U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Fiorentina U20 -
TBD -
AS Roma U20 1
Bologna U20 2
Parma U20 -
TBD -
Cesena U20 2
Inter U20 1
Semi-finals
Fiorentina U20 2
Bologna U20 0
Parma U20 2
Cesena U20 1
Final
Fiorentina U20 2
Parma U20 1