Sport Picks
Fiorentina vs Dynamo Kyiv
Europe
Conference League 2025/2026 Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence 
Match Events
18'
18'
Kean M.
Assist: Dodo
44'
44'
Ndour C.
52'
52'
Dubinchak V.
AI Match Summary
The Conference League 2025/2026 game between Fiorentina and Dynamo Kyiv finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fiorentina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fiorentina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dynamo Kyiv carry the better recent record into this one.
- Fiorentina are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Conference League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 20%
Dynamo Kyiv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fiorentina | Dynamo Kyiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 11, 2025 Conference League
Fiorentina vs Dynamo Kyiv
2:1
Apr 23, 2015 Europa League
Fiorentina vs Dynamo Kyiv
2:0
Apr 16, 2015 Europa League
Dynamo Kyiv vs Fiorentina
1:1
Dec 6, 1989 Europa League
Dynamo Kyiv vs Fiorentina
0:0
Nov 22, 1989 Europa League
Fiorentina vs Dynamo Kyiv
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fiorentina Compare
Top Goalscorer Kean M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gudmundsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Dynamo Kyiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Mykhaylenko M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fiorentina 76 / 100
Dynamo Kyiv 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fiorentina Dynamo Kyiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fiorentina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fiorentina's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Dynamo Kyiv let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Fiorentina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Fiorentina VS Dynamo Kyiv
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Fiorentina
(Home) 14 Aug
Fiorentina
4 : 1 Benevento
06 Aug
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Dep. A Coruna
01 Aug
Real Madrid
2 : 2 Fiorentina
29 Jul
Watford
0 : 1 Fiorentina
25 Jul
QPR
3 : 2 Fiorentina
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Fiorentina
4 : 1 Benevento
06 Aug
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Dep. A Coruna
22 Jul
Fiorentina
1 : 0 Gubbio
19 Jul
Fiorentina
8 : 1 Fiorentina U20
22 May
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Atalanta
Page 1 of 4
Dynamo Kyiv
(Away) 13 Aug
Qarabag Agdam
2 : 0 Dynamo Kyiv
09 Aug
Veres Rivne
1 : 2 Dynamo Kyiv
06 Aug
Dynamo Kyiv
1 : 0 Qarabag Agdam
30 Jul
PAOK
2 : 0 Dynamo Kyiv
23 Jul
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 3 PAOK
Page 1 of 6
13 Aug
Qarabag Agdam
2 : 0 Dynamo Kyiv
09 Aug
Veres Rivne
1 : 2 Dynamo Kyiv
30 Jul
PAOK
2 : 0 Dynamo Kyiv
16 Jul
Universitatea Cluj
0 : 1 Dynamo Kyiv
10 Jul
Radomiak Radom
2 : 4 Dynamo Kyiv
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strasbourg | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Rakow Czestochowa | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 14 |
| 3 | AEK | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 6 | Shakhtar | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 7 | Mainz | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 13 |
| 8 | AEK Larnaca | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7:1 | 12 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 11 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Lech Poznan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 10 |
| 12 | Samsunspor | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 13 | Celje | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 16 | Rijeka | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | 9 |
| 17 | Jagiellonia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 9 |
| 18 | Omonia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 19 | Noah | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 20 | Drita | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 8 |
| 21 | KuPS | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 22 | Shkendija Tetovo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 23 | Zrinjski | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 7 |
| 24 | Sigma Olomouc | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 25 | Univ. Craiova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 26 | Lincoln Red Imps | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 28 | Legia | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 29 | Slovan Bratislava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 30 | Breidablik | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 32 | Hacken | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 33 | Hamrun | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 34 | Shelbourne | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0:7 | 2 |
| 35 | Aberdeen | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:14 | 2 |
| 36 | Rapid Vienna | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | 1 |
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
