Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fiorentina W vs Lazio W

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Curva Fiesole - Viola Park, Bagno a Ripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
D'Auria F.
30' Event
Tryggvadottir K.
Assist: Lombardi E.
40'
Eiriksdottir H.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Women 2025/2026 game between Fiorentina W and Lazio W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fiorentina W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fiorentina W
20%
Draws
40%
Lazio W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Fiorentina W's 1.59 goals per match outpaces what Lazio W have produced (1.34).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Fiorentina W Clean Sheet 16%
Lazio W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina W Lazio W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Lazio W
2:1
Jan 24, 2026 Serie A Women
Lazio W vs Fiorentina W
3:0
Jan 25, 2025 Serie A Women
Lazio W vs Fiorentina W
2:0
Oct 19, 2024 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Lazio W
3:2
Feb 26, 2022 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Lazio W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentina W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tryggvadottir K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bredgaard S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Lazio W Compare

Top Goalscorer Karczewska N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina W 36 / 100
Lazio W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina W Lazio W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lazio W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Fiorentina W scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Lazio W has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Fiorentina W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina W VS Lazio W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina W

(Home)
05 Sept
AS Roma W
3 : 0
Fiorentina W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
23 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
08 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 1
Manchester City W
05 Aug
Cesena W
0 : 6
Fiorentina W
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Lazio W

(Away)
26 Sept
Lazio W
0 : 0
Parma W
06 Sept
Inter W
3 : 1
Lazio W
30 Aug
Lazio W
2 : 0
Parma W
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2
Napoli W
17 May
Fiorentina W
2 : 1
Lazio W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)