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Fiorentina W vs Sassuolo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Curva Fiesole - Viola Park, Bagno a Ripoli
Fiorentina W Logo

Fiorentina W

3 - 2
FT
Sassuolo W Logo

Sassuolo W

Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Skupien K.
46' Event
Severini E.
Assist: Woldvik E.
55' Event
Ndjoah Eto N.
Assist: Dhont E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fiorentina W in this Serie A Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fiorentina W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Fiorentina W
15%
Draws
42%
Sassuolo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fiorentina W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Sassuolo W haven't matched Fiorentina W's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Fiorentina W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fiorentina W Clean Sheet 20%
Sassuolo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina W Sassuolo W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.48 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Sassuolo W
2:0
Aug 23, 2026 Serie A Cup Women
Fiorentina W vs Sassuolo W
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Sassuolo W
3:2
Nov 2, 2025 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs Fiorentina W
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Sassuolo W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentina W Compare

Top Goalscorer Severini E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bredgaard S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Sassuolo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndjoah Eto N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina W 58 / 100
Sassuolo W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina W Sassuolo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiorentina W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fiorentina W scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Sassuolo W conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Sassuolo W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina W VS Sassuolo W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina W

(Home)
03 Oct
Fiorentina W
2 : 0
Sassuolo W
27 Sept
Inter W
2 : 0
Fiorentina W
05 Sept
AS Roma W
3 : 0
Fiorentina W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
23 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
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Sassuolo W

(Away)
03 Oct
Fiorentina W
2 : 0
Sassuolo W
27 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 3
AS Roma W
20 Sept
Moncalieri W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
13 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 7
AS Roma W
05 Sept
Sassuolo W
2 : 0
Ternana W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)