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Fiorentina W vs Ternana W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Cup Women Curva Fiesole - Viola Park, Bagno a Ripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Van Der Zanden I.
Assist: Bredgaard S.
44' Event
Snerle E.
Assist: Faerge E.
47' Event
Yang Lina

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Fiorentina W
15%
Draws
42%
Ternana W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fiorentina W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fiorentina W come out ahead of Ternana W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fiorentina W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Fiorentina W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fiorentina W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Fiorentina W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fiorentina W Clean Sheet 20%
Ternana W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina W Ternana W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.45 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Serie A Cup Women
Fiorentina W vs Ternana W
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 Serie A Women
Ternana W vs Fiorentina W
2:2
Dec 7, 2025 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Ternana W
1:0
Oct 11, 2023 Coppa Italia Women
Ternana W vs Fiorentina W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentina W Compare

Top Goalscorer Van Der Zanden I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Snerle E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Ternana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yang Lina
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina W 42 / 100
Ternana W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina W Ternana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ternana W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Fiorentina W scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Ternana W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina W VS Ternana W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina W

(Home)
03 Oct
Fiorentina W
2 : 0
Sassuolo W
27 Sept
Inter W
2 : 0
Fiorentina W
05 Sept
AS Roma W
3 : 0
Fiorentina W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
23 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
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Ternana W

(Away)
03 Oct
Parma W
1 : 2
Ternana W
27 Sept
Ternana W
1 : 2
Como W
20 Sept
Catania W
1 : 5
Ternana W
05 Sept
Sassuolo W
2 : 0
Ternana W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Lazio W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Napoli W 3 1 0 2 3:10 3
4 Parma W 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sassuolo W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 AS Roma W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fiorentina W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Ternana W 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus W 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Como W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 AC Milan W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Como 1907 W 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)