Sport Picks
Fiorentino vs Folgore
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 Stadio di Fiorentino, Fiorentino 
Match Events
17'
17'
Pancotti S.
(Penalty)
34'
34'
Garcia Rufer A.
Assist: Raschi J.
35'
35'
Raschi J.
Assist: Malaponti F.
AI Match Summary
Folgore in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Folgore.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
15%
67%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Folgore
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Folgore lately — more wins on the board than Fiorentino.
- 67% — that's where the model lands on Folgore taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 10%
Folgore Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fiorentino | Folgore |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 2 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 2.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs Folgore
0:4
Oct 3, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Fiorentino
3:0
Feb 9, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Fiorentino
2:2
Oct 5, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs Folgore
1:1
Apr 24, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs Fiorentino
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fiorentino Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Folgore Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia Rufer A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Raschi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fiorentino 10 / 100
Folgore 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fiorentino Folgore
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Folgore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fiorentino scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Folgore has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Fiorentino stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fiorentino VS Folgore
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Fiorentino
(Home) 19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2 Fiorentino
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
22 Aug
Fiorentino
1 : 4 Tre Penne
05 May
Fiorentino
3 : 2 La Fiorita
Page 1 of 4
Folgore
(Away) 19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0 San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2 Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2 Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0 Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0 SS Murata
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2 Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2 Folgore
02 May
SP Domagnano
0 : 1 Folgore
25 Apr
SP Domagnano
3 : 7 Folgore
12 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
2 : 2 Folgore
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
