Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fiorentino vs Juvenes/Dogana

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese Stadio di Fiorentino
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Evaristi M.
83' Event
Belward S.
Assist: Gjonaj A.
90' Event
Cecchetti L.

AI Match Summary

Fiorentino in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fiorentino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Fiorentino
28%
Draws
22%
Juvenes/Dogana
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Fiorentino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Fiorentino have won more games recently than Juvenes/Dogana.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Fiorentino taking it.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 68%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentino Juvenes/Dogana
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 12
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs Juvenes/Dogana
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Fiorentino
1:1
Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Titano
Juvenes/Dogana vs Fiorentino
3:0
Sep 24, 2025 Coppa Titano
Fiorentino vs Juvenes/Dogana
2:2
Apr 30, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentino Compare

Top Goalscorer Evaristi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Belward S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Juvenes/Dogana Compare

Top Goalscorer Cecchetti L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentino 59 / 100
Juvenes/Dogana 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentino Juvenes/Dogana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentino scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Juvenes/Dogana has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Fiorentino went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentino VS Juvenes/Dogana
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tre Fiori30227163:1373
2Virtus30226276:2072
3Tre Penne30217271:1870
4La Fiorita301711264:2557
5Folgore30169567:3357
6SP Domagnano30147959:3649
7Fiorentino301441237:4246
8SP Cosmos301191030:2342
9Juvenes/Dogana309101136:3837
10AC Libertas30981332:6335
11SS Pennarossa30881429:5332
12San Giovanni307101324:4331
13SC Faetano30642022:5522
14San Marino Academy U2230372023:6016
15Cailungo30252323:7111
16SS Murata30142520:83-2