Sport Picks
Fiorentino vs Juvenes/Dogana
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 Stadio di Fiorentino, Fiorentino 
Match Events
79'
79'
Evaristi M.
83'
83'
Belward S.
Assist: Gjonaj A.
90'
90'
Cecchetti L.
AI Match Summary
Fiorentino in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fiorentino.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fiorentino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Fiorentino have won more games recently than Juvenes/Dogana.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 16%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fiorentino | Juvenes/Dogana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs Juvenes/Dogana
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs Fiorentino
1:1
Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Titano
Juvenes/Dogana vs Fiorentino
3:0
Sep 24, 2025 Coppa Titano
Fiorentino vs Juvenes/Dogana
2:2
Apr 30, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs Juvenes/Dogana
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fiorentino Compare
Top Goalscorer Evaristi M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Belward S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Juvenes/Dogana Compare
Top Goalscorer Cecchetti L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fiorentino 31 / 100
Juvenes/Dogana 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fiorentino Juvenes/Dogana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fiorentino scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Juvenes/Dogana has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Juvenes/Dogana lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fiorentino VS Juvenes/Dogana
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fiorentino
(Home) 19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2 Fiorentino
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
22 Aug
Fiorentino
1 : 4 Tre Penne
05 May
Fiorentino
3 : 2 La Fiorita
Page 1 of 4
Juvenes/Dogana
(Away) 20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2 Folgore
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0 SC Faetano
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
03 May
Virtus
0 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
18 Apr
SS Pennarossa
0 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
