Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fiorenzuola vs Alessandria

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Seck A.
46' Event
Nelli J.
48' Event
Alberti T.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 game between Fiorenzuola and Alessandria finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fiorenzuola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Fiorenzuola
15%
Draws
76%
Alessandria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alessandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fiorenzuola come out ahead of Alessandria on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Alessandria's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Fiorenzuola Clean Sheet 21%
Alessandria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorenzuola Alessandria
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 6 5
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.61 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Fiorenzuola vs Alessandria
2:0
Dec 3, 2023 Serie C - Group A
Alessandria vs Fiorenzuola
0:1
Mar 26, 2023 Serie C - Group B
Alessandria vs Fiorenzuola
1:1
Nov 26, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Fiorenzuola vs Alessandria
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorenzuola Compare

Top Goalscorer Nelli J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alberti T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Alessandria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorenzuola 20 / 100
Alessandria 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorenzuola Alessandria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alessandria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alessandria conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Fiorenzuola scored in 45% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Fiorenzuola remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiorenzuola VS Alessandria
0.75 Goals Scored 1.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.14
50% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorenzuola

(Home)
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
13 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
06 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 3
Scanzorosciate
Page 1 of 7

Alessandria

(Away)
27 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 0
Asti Calcio
16 Sept
Millesimo
4 : 1
Alessandria
13 Sept
Alessandria
2 : 1
Sestri Levante
06 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2
Alessandria
04 Aug
Alessandria
1 : 2
Juventus U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mantova 38 24 8 6 72:31 80
2 Padova 38 21 14 3 55:28 77
3 Vicenza 38 20 11 7 52:30 71
4 Triestina 38 19 7 12 61:44 64
5 Atalanta U23 38 16 11 11 43:36 59
6 Legnago Salus 38 13 17 8 46:39 56
7 Giana Erminio 38 15 8 15 46:44 53
8 Pro Vercelli 38 14 11 13 50:47 53
9 Lumezzane 38 15 8 15 49:48 53
10 Trento 38 13 12 13 34:37 51
11 Virtus Verona 38 12 11 15 35:43 47
12 Pro Patria 38 12 10 16 37:51 46
13 AlbinoLeffe 38 10 15 13 34:37 45
14 Pergolettese 38 13 6 19 44:50 45
15 Renate 38 11 12 15 35:46 45
16 Arzignano 38 10 14 14 32:37 44
17 Novara 38 8 19 11 39:49 43
18 Fiorenzuola 38 10 8 20 38:62 38
19 Pro Sesto 38 7 14 17 25:40 35
20 Alessandria 38 5 8 25 20:48 20
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)