Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fiorenzuola vs Cittadella Vis Modena

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 Stadio comunale
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fiorenzuola play Cittadella Vis Modena in the Serie D - Group D 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fiorenzuola averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Cittadella Vis Modena averaged 1 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. In past meetings, Fiorenzuola won 1, Cittadella Vis Modena won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 9, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Fiorenzuola and 1.11 for Cittadella Vis Modena. This points to a Cittadella Vis Modena double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Fiorenzuola
22%
Draws
52%
Cittadella Vis Modena
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Cittadella Vis Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Fiorenzuola picked up more points recently compared to Cittadella Vis Modena.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fiorenzuola Clean Sheet 21%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorenzuola Cittadella Vis Modena
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 14
Draws 4 10
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.79

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Fiorenzuola vs Cittadella Vis Modena
0:2
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Fiorenzuola
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorenzuola Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Cittadella Vis Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Formato A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marchetti M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorenzuola 28 / 100
Cittadella Vis Modena 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorenzuola Cittadella Vis Modena

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cittadella Vis Modena or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +23.2%
3.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fiorenzuola attacking → ← attacking Cittadella Vis Modena

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorenzuola scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Cittadella Vis Modena let in goals in 53% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Fiorenzuola went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cittadella Vis Modena lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 52
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Forli FC34273475:2484
2Ravenna34235665:2774
3Lentigione341811548:2765
4Tau34189754:2763
5Pistoiese34187945:2361
6Imolese341411952:4453
7Cittadella Vis Modena341381348:4047
8Piacenza3410121238:4042
9Prato341191434:3842
10Tuttocuoio3410121232:4342
11SCD Progresso3410111324:3241
12San Marino Calcio341081638:5138
13Sasso Marconi349101539:5137
14Corticella341061837:6536
15Sammaurese347101727:3731
16Fiorenzuola34752221:4626
17Zenith Prato341081636:5123
18United Riccione34572222:6922