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Fiorenzuola vs Forli FC

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 Stadio comunale, Fiorenzuola d'Arda
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Match Events

2' Event
Farinelli N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 game between Fiorenzuola and Forli FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forli FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fiorenzuola
33%
Draws
27%
Forli FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Fiorenzuola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Fiorenzuola haven't matched Forli FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fiorenzuola a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Forli FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Fiorenzuola Clean Sheet 20%
Forli FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorenzuola Forli FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Fiorenzuola vs Forli FC
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Fiorenzuola
2:0
Mar 28, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Fiorenzuola
2:2
Jan 20, 2021 Serie D - Group D
Fiorenzuola vs Forli FC
0:1
Feb 16, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Fiorenzuola
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorenzuola Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Forli FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Farinelli N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorenzuola 40 / 100
Forli FC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorenzuola Forli FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forli FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Fiorenzuola has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fiorenzuola scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Forli FC
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorenzuola

(Home)
04 May
Fiorenzuola
3 : 0
Prato
27 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 0
Fiorenzuola
17 Apr
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Lentigione
13 Apr
Ravenna
3 : 0
Fiorenzuola
06 Apr
Fiorenzuola
1 : 0
Sammaurese
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Forli FC

(Away)
29 Jul
Tre Fiori
1 : 3
Forli FC
26 Apr
Forli FC
1 : 1
Perugia
18 Apr
Carpi
0 : 1
Forli FC
11 Apr
Forli FC
0 : 3
Ascoli
04 Apr
Bra
2 : 1
Forli FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Forli FC34273475:2484
2Ravenna34235665:2774
3Lentigione341811548:2765
4Tau34189754:2763
5Pistoiese34187945:2361
6Imolese341411952:4453
7Cittadella Vis Modena341381348:4047
8Piacenza3410121238:4042
9Prato341191434:3842
10Tuttocuoio3410121232:4342
11SCD Progresso3410111324:3241
12San Marino Calcio341081638:5138
13Sasso Marconi349101539:5137
14Corticella341061837:6536
15Sammaurese347101727:3731
16Fiorenzuola34752221:4626
17Zenith Prato341081636:5123
18United Riccione34572222:6922
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)