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Fiorenzuola vs MapelloBonate

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2015/2016 game between Fiorenzuola and MapelloBonate finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Fiorenzuola
28%
Draws
22%
MapelloBonate
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Fiorenzuola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fiorenzuola come out ahead of MapelloBonate on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fiorenzuola a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Fiorenzuola Clean Sheet 68%
MapelloBonate Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorenzuola MapelloBonate
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Fiorenzuola vs MapelloBonate
1:1
Sep 16, 2015 Serie D - Group B
MapelloBonate vs Fiorenzuola
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorenzuola 59 / 100
MapelloBonate 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorenzuola MapelloBonate

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MapelloBonate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Fiorenzuola remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: MapelloBonate has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Fiorenzuola's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fiorenzuola VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Piacenza38306285:2796
2Lecco382311483:4180
3Seregno Calcio3818101063:4764
4Ciliverghe Mazzano381871348:4961
5Ponte San Pietro3817101163:4861
6Olginatese3815111257:5056
7Inveruno381581565:5753
8Ciserano3813141148:5553
9Folgore Caratese3811171052:4850
10Monza3812131352:4949
11Grumellese3812121449:5348
12Pro Sesto381381750:5147
13Varesina3811141342:4947
14Pergolettese3811131438:4246
15Bustese Milano City3811121547:5845
16Ciserano-Bergamo381291744:6145
17Caravaggio387131835:5634
18Fiorenzuola385181528:5133
19MapelloBonate386131936:5931
20Sondrio38692339:7327