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Fiorenzuola vs OltrepoVoghera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group D 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fiorenzuola in this Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fiorenzuola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Fiorenzuola
30%
Draws
23%
OltrepoVoghera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fiorenzuola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • OltrepoVoghera haven't matched Fiorenzuola's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Fiorenzuola taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Fiorenzuola Clean Sheet 18%
OltrepoVoghera Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorenzuola OltrepoVoghera
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 4 13
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.71 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2019 Serie D - Group D
OltrepoVoghera vs Fiorenzuola
0:2
Dec 16, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Fiorenzuola vs OltrepoVoghera
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorenzuola 58 / 100
OltrepoVoghera 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorenzuola OltrepoVoghera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiorenzuola Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OltrepoVoghera let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

OltrepoVoghera's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Fiorenzuola scored in 50% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fiorenzuola VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorenzuola

(Home)
04 Oct
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Fiorenzuola
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
13 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
Page 1 of 7

OltrepoVoghera

(Away)
05 May
USD Classe 1974
1 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
28 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Fiorenzuola
18 Apr
Crema
1 : 0
OltrepoVoghera
14 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
07 Apr
Fanfulla
2 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pergolettese 34 22 7 5 62:32 73
2 Modena 34 21 10 3 60:27 73
3 Reggiana 34 19 9 6 57:28 66
4 Fanfulla 34 16 9 9 58:52 57
5 Fiorenzuola 34 16 8 10 52:31 56
6 Crema 34 12 13 9 52:50 49
7 Adrense 34 12 11 11 45:45 47
8 Vigor Carpaneto 34 11 14 9 42:35 47
9 Axys Zola 34 11 8 15 40:45 41
10 Ciliverghe Mazzano 34 11 8 15 38:48 41
11 Lentigione 34 8 15 11 34:36 39
12 Desenzano Calvina 34 8 15 11 40:51 39
13 Pavia 34 9 9 16 32:46 36
14 Mezzolara 34 7 14 13 39:50 35
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 10 16 31:50 34
16 San Marino Calcio 34 5 16 13 24:32 31
17 USD Classe 1974 34 6 12 16 25:51 30
18 OltrepoVoghera 34 3 14 17 22:44 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Play Offs)