Sport Picks
Fiorenzuola vs San Marino Calcio
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 Stadio comunale, Fiorenzuola d'Arda 
Match Events
46'
46'
Passewe A.
87'
87'
Cocuzza R.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 game between Fiorenzuola and San Marino Calcio finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fiorenzuola
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Fiorenzuola haven't matched San Marino Calcio's recent run of results.
- Fiorenzuola are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Fiorenzuola Clean Sheet 68%
San Marino Calcio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fiorenzuola | San Marino Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 20 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Fiorenzuola vs San Marino Calcio
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group D
San Marino Calcio vs Fiorenzuola
1:0
Mar 24, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Fiorenzuola vs San Marino Calcio
1:0
Nov 18, 2018 Serie D - Group D
San Marino Calcio vs Fiorenzuola
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fiorenzuola Compare
Top Goalscorer Cocuzza R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
San Marino Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Passewe A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fiorenzuola 68 / 100
San Marino Calcio 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fiorenzuola San Marino Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FIO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Marino Calcio let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Fiorenzuola went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Fiorenzuola found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS San Marino Calcio
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Fiorenzuola
(Home) 04 May
Fiorenzuola
3 : 0 Prato
27 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 0 Fiorenzuola
17 Apr
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1 Lentigione
13 Apr
Ravenna
3 : 0 Fiorenzuola
06 Apr
Fiorenzuola
1 : 0 Sammaurese
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Fiorenzuola
3 : 0 Prato
17 Apr
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1 Lentigione
06 Apr
Fiorenzuola
1 : 0 Sammaurese
09 Mar
Fiorenzuola
0 : 2 Cittadella Vis Modena
23 Feb
Fiorenzuola
0 : 2 Tau
Page 1 of 3
San Marino Calcio
(Away) 17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1 San Marino Calcio
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0 Sammaurese
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 San Marino Calcio
19 Apr
San Marino Calcio
1 : 3 Teramo
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2 San Marino Calcio
Page 1 of 7
17 May
Recanatese
4 : 1 San Marino Calcio
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 San Marino Calcio
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2 San Marino Calcio
29 Mar
Maceratese
3 : 0 San Marino Calcio
15 Mar
Calcio Chieti
1 : 1 San Marino Calcio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forli FC | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 75:24 | 84 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 65:27 | 74 |
| 3 | Lentigione | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 48:27 | 65 |
| 4 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 63 |
| 5 | Pistoiese | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:23 | 61 |
| 6 | Imolese | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 52:44 | 53 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 48:40 | 47 |
| 8 | Piacenza | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38:40 | 42 |
| 9 | Prato | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 34:38 | 42 |
| 10 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 32:43 | 42 |
| 11 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 24:32 | 41 |
| 12 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:51 | 38 |
| 13 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 39:51 | 37 |
| 14 | Corticella | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 37:65 | 36 |
| 15 | Sammaurese | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 27:37 | 31 |
| 16 | Fiorenzuola | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 21:46 | 26 |
| 17 | Zenith Prato | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 36:51 | 23 |
| 18 | United Riccione | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 22:69 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)
