Sport Picks
First Bank vs Ekiti United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Nigeria
NNL 
AI Match Summary
First Bank in this NNL matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored First Bank.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ekiti United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ekiti United lately — more wins on the board than First Bank.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
First Bank Clean Sheet 24%
Ekiti United Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | First Bank | Ekiti United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 NNL
Ekiti United vs First Bank
2:1
Jan 12, 2026 NNL
First Bank vs Ekiti United
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
First Bank 33 / 100
Ekiti United 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
First Bank Ekiti United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ekiti United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
First Bank scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Ekiti United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Solid form: First Bank remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
First Bank VS Ekiti United
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
First Bank
(Home) 16 Apr
First Bank
3 : 3 Godswill Akpabio
04 Apr
Sporting Lagos
5 : 0 First Bank
01 Apr
First Bank
1 : 0 Solution
28 Mar
First Bank
2 : 0 Osun United
15 Mar
Stormers
3 : 1 First Bank
Page 1 of 6
16 Apr
First Bank
3 : 3 Godswill Akpabio
01 Apr
First Bank
1 : 0 Solution
28 Mar
First Bank
2 : 0 Osun United
06 Mar
First Bank
1 : 0 Rovers FC
20 Feb
First Bank
0 : 0 Abakaliki
Page 1 of 3
Ekiti United
(Away) 16 Apr
Stormers
0 : 2 Ekiti United
12 Apr
Ekiti United
3 : 1 Rovers FC
29 Mar
Akwa United
3 : 1 Ekiti United
25 Mar
Ekiti United
1 : 0 Abakaliki
14 Mar
Solution
1 : 0 Ekiti United
Page 1 of 6
16 Apr
Stormers
0 : 2 Ekiti United
29 Mar
Akwa United
3 : 1 Ekiti United
14 Mar
Solution
1 : 0 Ekiti United
08 Mar
Godswill Akpabio
1 : 0 Ekiti United
21 Feb
Osun United
1 : 0 Ekiti United
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Lagos | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 26:13 | 29 |
| 2 | Beyond Limits FC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Heartland FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 21:17 | 27 |
| 4 | Smart City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 21:19 | 27 |
| 5 | Sunshine Stars | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 18:14 | 25 |
| 6 | Edel FC | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | 20 |
| 7 | Crown FC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18:19 | 16 |
| 8 | Abia Comets | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:31 | 15 |
| 9 | Gateway United | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13:24 | 12 |
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Lagos | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 31:14 | 36 |
| 2 | Akwa United | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 23:13 | 35 |
| 3 | Ekiti United | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 21:17 | 30 |
| 4 | Stormers | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 24:26 | 26 |
| 5 | Abakaliki | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19:17 | 25 |
| 6 | Solution | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 18:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Godswill Akpabio | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 27:24 | 24 |
| 8 | Rovers FC | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 15:21 | 22 |
| 9 | Osun United | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 16:24 | 20 |
| 10 | First Bank | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15:31 | 15 |
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Doma United | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 26 |
| 2 | Lobi | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 12:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Basira | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 4 | Kada Warriors | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 11:9 | 20 |
| 5 | Sokoto United | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 9:11 | 18 |
| 6 | ABS | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10:16 | 17 |
| 7 | Mighty Jets | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:16 | 16 |
| 8 | City FC Abuja | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 10:14 | 16 |
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ranchers Bees | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11:9 | 20 |
| 2 | Adamawa Utd | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 12:11 | 18 |
| 3 | Jigawa Golden Stars | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:15 | 18 |
| 4 | Yobe Stars | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 5 | Kebbi | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Bichi First | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Gombe | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8:11 | 15 |
| 8 | Sporting Supreme | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)
