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Stadium Background

First Vienna vs St. Polten - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

2. Liga Hohe Warte Stadium, Vienna
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First Vienna host St. Polten in the 2. Liga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. St. Polten have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while First Vienna have conceded 0.86 and scored 1.66. Past meetings favor First Vienna slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.63 - 0.81) back First Vienna to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
First Vienna
15%
Draws
36%
St. Polten
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: First Vienna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and First Vienna come out ahead of St. Polten on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans First Vienna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
First Vienna Clean Sheet 20%
St. Polten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric First Vienna St. Polten
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.66 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 2. Liga
First Vienna vs St. Polten
2:1
Aug 15, 2025 2. Liga
St. Polten vs First Vienna
2:1
Mar 14, 2025 2. Liga
St. Polten vs First Vienna
3:3
Aug 30, 2024 2. Liga
First Vienna vs St. Polten
2:1
Apr 5, 2024 2. Liga
First Vienna vs St. Polten
7:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

First Vienna 85 / 100
St. Polten 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
First Vienna St. Polten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick First Vienna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: First Vienna scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: St. Polten conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: First Vienna stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

First Vienna VS St. Polten
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

First Vienna

(Home)
02 Oct
LASK Linz
2 : 1
First Vienna
18 Sept
Hogo Hertha Wels
1 : 3
First Vienna
11 Sept
Rapid Vienna II
0 : 2
First Vienna
05 Sept
A. Salzburg
0 : 4
First Vienna
28 Aug
First Vienna
1 : 0
Amstetten
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St. Polten

(Away)
19 Sept
St. Polten
2 : 1
SW Bregenz
13 Sept
FC Liefering
1 : 3
St. Polten
06 Sept
St. Polten
0 : 3
Salzburg
28 Aug
St. Polten
1 : 0
A. Salzburg
21 Aug
Wacker Innsbruck
1 : 0
St. Polten
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 7 6 0 1 20:4 18
2 First Vienna 7 5 1 1 14:7 16
3 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 7 4 1 2 13:10 13
4 Amstetten 7 3 3 1 14:11 12
5 Austria Vienna (Am) 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
6 Wacker Innsbruck 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 A. Salzburg 7 3 1 3 14:12 10
8 FC Liefering 7 3 1 3 14:15 10
9 SW Bregenz 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
10 St. Polten 7 3 0 4 6:6 9
11 Admira 7 3 0 4 7:8 9
12 ASK Voitsberg 7 2 3 2 10:12 9
13 Sturm II 7 2 2 3 15:18 8
14 Rapid Vienna II 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
15 Hogo Hertha Wels 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Kapfenberg 7 1 0 6 9:17 3
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)