Sport Picks

Stadium Background

First Vienna W vs SKV Altenmarkt W

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First Vienna W are looking tough to beat at the moment. They average 1.2 expected goals (xG) per game and will likely dictate the tempo. SKV Altenmarkt W will likely drop deep and defend, forcing First Vienna W to find a way to break them down. History suggests plenty of goals when these two play. Over 2.5 goals seems highly likely based on recent attacking form. Our model gives the edge to First Vienna W with a 74% win probability.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
First Vienna W
15%
Draws
11%
SKV Altenmarkt W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: First Vienna W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • First Vienna W picked up more points recently compared to SKV Altenmarkt W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
First Vienna W Clean Sheet 16%
SKV Altenmarkt W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric First Vienna W SKV Altenmarkt W
Matches Played 40 31
Wins 22 1
Draws 6 2
Losses 12 28
Goals Scored 2.5 0.45
Goals Conceded 1.55 4.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

24.03.23 Bundesliga Women
First Vienna W vs SKV Altenmarkt W
10:0
10.09.22 Bundesliga Women
SKV Altenmarkt W vs First Vienna W
0:2
28.05.22 Bundesliga Women
SKV Altenmarkt W vs First Vienna W
2:7
06.11.21 Bundesliga Women
First Vienna W vs SKV Altenmarkt W
3:1

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

First Vienna W

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

SKV Altenmarkt W

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

First Vienna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
7 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
5 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.72

SKV Altenmarkt W Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
10 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
8 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.05

Availability Alerts

Key Defender SKV Altenmarkt W • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder First Vienna W • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper SKV Altenmarkt W • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker First Vienna W • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

First Vienna W 70 / 100
SKV Altenmarkt W 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
First Vienna W SKV Altenmarkt W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick First Vienna W Win (1)
Secondary Pick First Vienna W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.5%
1.52
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

First Vienna W will likely press early to force mistakes.

First Vienna W 59%
SKV Altenmarkt W 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

SKV Altenmarkt W should settle down and try to slow the pace.

First Vienna W 54%
SKV Altenmarkt W 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

First Vienna W 51%
SKV Altenmarkt W 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect First Vienna W to push more players wide.

First Vienna W 56%
SKV Altenmarkt W 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

First Vienna W 51%
SKV Altenmarkt W 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

First Vienna W 62%
SKV Altenmarkt W 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

First Vienna W attacking → ← attacking SKV Altenmarkt W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

First Vienna W have scored in 91% of their home games in the past 12 months.

SKV Altenmarkt W concede most goals (51%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 24 shots per game, well above the league median.

First Vienna W are unbeaten in 6 straight matches when scoring first.

SKV Altenmarkt W have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 8 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: First Vienna W wants a European spot, while SKV Altenmarkt W is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

72 Points in last 5 5
1.17 Goals expected (xG) 1.44
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2