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Fisterra vs UD Ourense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD Ourense in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Ourense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Fisterra
20%
Draws
32%
UD Ourense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fisterra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Ourense lately — more wins on the board than Fisterra.
  • Fisterra are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Fisterra Clean Sheet 19%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fisterra UD Ourense
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 8 21
Draws 5 10
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Fisterra
2:0
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Fisterra vs UD Ourense
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fisterra 42 / 100
UD Ourense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fisterra UD Ourense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fisterra found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: UD Ourense conceded in 60% of 42 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

UD Ourense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS UD Ourense
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fisterra

(Home)
19 Jun
Fisterra
1 : 2
Ribadumia
13 Jun
UD Ourense
2 : 0
Fisterra
06 Jun
Fisterra
0 : 2
Atios
30 May
Pontellas
2 : 1
Fisterra
23 May
Fisterra
4 : 2
Barco
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UD Ourense

(Away)
03 Oct
Real Union
1 : 1
UD Ourense
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1
UD Ourense
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
05 Sept
Mirandes
2 : 0
UD Ourense
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