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Five Islands vs Swetes

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 game between Five Islands and Swetes finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Five Islands
15%
Draws
48%
Swetes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swetes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Swetes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Five Islands Clean Sheet 10%
Swetes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Five Islands Swetes
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 23 19
Goals Scored 1.27 1.52
Goals Conceded 3.06 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Five Islands vs Swetes
1:2
Feb 16, 2020 ABFA Premier League
Swetes vs Five Islands
2:5
Dec 8, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Five Islands vs Swetes
0:5
Feb 17, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Five Islands vs Swetes
3:3
Nov 4, 2018 ABFA Premier League
Swetes vs Five Islands
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Five Islands 34 / 100
Swetes 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Five Islands Swetes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swetes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swetes let in goals in 94% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Five Islands scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Five Islands has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Five Islands VS Swetes
1.63 Goals Scored 5
3.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Five Islands

(Home)
29 Mar
Attacking Saints
2 : 1
Five Islands
22 Mar
Garden Stars
1 : 2
Five Islands
01 Mar
Potters FC
1 : 1
Five Islands
15 Feb
Five Islands
4 : 2
Parham
09 Feb
All Saints United
5 : 0
Five Islands
Page 1 of 7

Swetes

(Away)
05 May
SAP
1 : 5
Swetes
29 Apr
All Saints United
5 : 2
Swetes
15 Apr
Garden Stars
1 : 3
Swetes
06 Apr
Pigotts Bullets
3 : 0
Swetes
01 Apr
Empire FC
1 : 2
Swetes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liberta 18 10 4 4 27:14 34
2 Greenbay Hoppers 18 10 3 5 36:25 33
3 Grenades 18 10 2 6 25:17 32
4 Old Road 18 10 1 7 35:22 31
5 Parham 18 8 2 8 27:29 26
6 Swetes 18 6 6 6 38:34 24
7 Five Islands 18 7 3 8 27:29 24
8 Tryum 18 5 5 8 24:29 20
9 SAP 18 6 0 12 26:47 18
10 Aston Villa 18 4 2 12 18:37 14
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 (Relegation)