Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fivemiletown vs Ardstraw

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ardstraw in this Irish Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Fivemiletown
15%
Draws
51%
Ardstraw
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ardstraw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ardstraw average 3.29 goals a game right now, well clear of Fivemiletown's 2.31.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Ardstraw, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
Fivemiletown Clean Sheet 10%
Ardstraw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fivemiletown Ardstraw
Matches Played 16 14
Wins 7 7
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.31 3.29
Goals Conceded 2.81 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2019 Irish Cup
Fivemiletown vs Ardstraw
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fivemiletown 34 / 100
Ardstraw 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fivemiletown Ardstraw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ardstraw Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fivemiletown found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (15 games).

Ardstraw's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 14 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Fivemiletown has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fivemiletown VS Ardstraw
3 Goals Scored 4.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Fivemiletown

(Home)
25 Nov
Fivemiletown
0 : 5
Strabane Athletic
17 Aug
Fivemiletown
2 : 3
Ardstraw
03 Nov
Fivemiletown
1 : 2
Tullycarnet
29 Sept
Wakehurst
2 : 3
Fivemiletown
18 Aug
Fivemiletown
7 : 0
Bloomfield
Page 1 of 4

Ardstraw

(Away)
02 Nov
Ardstraw
1 : 2
Islandmagee
28 Sept
Ardstraw
4 : 1
Wakehurst
17 Aug
Fivemiletown
2 : 3
Ardstraw
29 Sept
Tobermore
5 : 3
Ardstraw
18 Aug
Ardstraw
7 : 0
Dromore Amateurs
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Knockbreda -
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Dollingstown -
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Lower Maze -
Lisburn Distillery -
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Ballynahinch United -
Strabane Athletic -
Maiden City 3
Bourneview Mill 2
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Tullycarnet -
Armagh 7
Bangor Old Boys 0
Tullyvallen Rangers 2
Dunloy 3
Warrenpoint -
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Tandragee -
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18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -
Comber Rec 2
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
Dromara 3
Coagh Utd 6
Crumlin Star 8
Kilmore Rec 0
Desertmartin 1
Trojans 3
Greenisland -
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Bloomfield 1
Foundry 3
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
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Portstewart -
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Dromore Amateurs 1
Belfast Celtic 9
Woodvale 5
Windmill 1
Derriaghy 1
Annagh 4
Tobermore -
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Barn 0
Oxford Sunnyside 3
Suffolk 3
St Luke's 0
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Larne Technical Old Boys -
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Newcastle 4
Grove 2
Dungiven 1
Banbridge 2
Dunmurry Rec 3
Rosemount Rec 2
Holywood 1
Newbuildings 4
Lurgan Town Boys 3
Iveagh Utd 1
Abbey Villa 1
St. James' Swifts 4
Ballymacash 3
St Oliver Plunkett 2
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Dunmurry Y.M. -
Ballymoney -
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St. Marys 1
East Belfast 3
Newtowne FC -
Drumaness -
Newington FC 5
Cookstown Youth 0
Ardstraw 3
Fivemiletown 2
Ards Rangers 1
Wakehurst 3
Islandmagee -
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Shorts -
Institute -
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Dungannon -
Newry City -
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Limavady 3
Ballynure Old Boys 0
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Immaculata -
Aquinas -
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Seapatrick 0
Craigavon City 5
Banbridge Rangers 2
Saintfield 0
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Bangor FC 3
Moneyslane FC 2
Malachians 1
Markethill 1
Mossley FC 4
Cliftonville -
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Glebe 3
Cookstown RBL 2
Laurelvale 1
Chimney 5
Richhill -
Ballywalter Recreation -
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Valley Rangers -
Hanover -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Oxford Stars -
Killyleagh Youth 1
Rosario Youth 0
Rectory Rangers 0
Downshire Y.M. 2
Loughgall -
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Brantwood -
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Colin Valley 0
Moyola 11
Crewe -
Donegal -
Bryansburn 1
Crumlin United 3
Shankill -
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Lisburn Rangers -
Rathfriland Rangers -
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Sirocco 2
Seagoe 3
Queens University -
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Portadown -
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Carrick Rangers -
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Dundela -
1/128-finals
Knockbreda -
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Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
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Dollingstown 5
Lower Maze 0
Lisburn Distillery 3
Strabane Athletic 2
Maiden City 1
Tullycarnet 3
Armagh 2
Dunloy 1
Warrenpoint -
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PSNI -
Ballymena -
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Tandragee 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 7
Comber Rec 2
Coagh Utd 4
Crumlin Star -
Trojans -
Greenisland 2
Foundry 0
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
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Portstewart 0
Belfast Celtic 1
Woodvale 1
Annagh 7
Tobermore 7
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Suffolk 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 4
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Newcastle 0
Banbridge 5
Dunmurry Rec 3
Newbuildings 2
Lurgan Town Boys 0
St. James' Swifts 4
Ballymacash 2
Dunmurry Y.M. 1
Ballymoney 2
East Belfast 3
Newtowne FC 0
Newington FC 2
Ardstraw 4
Wakehurst 1
Islandmagee 5
Shorts 2
Institute -
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Dungannon -
Newry City -
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Limavady 2
Immaculata 0
Aquinas 2
Craigavon City 1
Banbridge Rangers 0
Bangor FC 3
Moneyslane FC 9
Mossley FC 0
Cliftonville -
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Glebe 1
Chimney 2
Richhill 0
Valley Rangers 3
Hanover -
Oxford Stars -
Killyleagh Youth 1
Downshire Y.M. 0
Loughgall -
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Brantwood 4
Moyola 3
Crewe 3
Crumlin United 4
Shankill 1
Lisburn Rangers 4
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Seagoe 2
Queens University -
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Linfield -
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Portadown -
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Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
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Dundela -
1/64-finals
Knockbreda -
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Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
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Dollingstown 2
Lisburn Distillery 1
Tullycarnet 4
Armagh 3
Warrenpoint -
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PSNI -
Ballymena -
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18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Coagh Utd 3
Crumlin Star 1
Greenisland 0
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
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Belfast Celtic 3
Annagh 1
Tobermore 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Banbridge 2
Dunmurry Rec 1
St. James' Swifts 0
Ballymacash 4
East Belfast 3
Newington FC 0
Ardstraw 1
Islandmagee 2
Institute -
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Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
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TBD -
Limavady 3
Aquinas 0
Bangor FC 5
Moneyslane FC 1
Cliftonville -
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Chimney 0
Valley Rangers 3
Hanover 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Loughgall -
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Brantwood 1
Crumlin United 0
Lisburn Rangers 0
Rathfriland Rangers 3
Queens University -
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Linfield -
Glentoran -
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Portadown -
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Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
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Dundela -
1/32-finals
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
Dollingstown 6
Tullycarnet 0
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Coagh Utd 0
Crumlin Star 1
Ballyclare -
TBD -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
TBD -
Belfast Celtic 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Banbridge 3
Ballymacash 2
East Belfast 7
Islandmagee 1
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
Limavady 1
Bangor FC 3
Cliftonville -
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Valley Rangers 1
Hanover 5
Loughgall -
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Brantwood 2
Rathfriland Rangers 5
Queens University -
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Linfield -
Glentoran -
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Portadown -
Ards -
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Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
TBD -
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Dundela -
1/16-finals
Knockbreda 3
Dergview 2
Ballinamallard 1
Dollingstown 0
Warrenpoint 3
PSNI 1
Ballymena 2
Crumlin Star 0
Ballyclare 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 8
Belfast Celtic 0
Glenavon 0
Coleraine 2
Banbridge 3
East Belfast 2
Institute 2
Dungannon 3
Newry City 3
Bangor FC 1
Cliftonville 6
Hanover 0
Loughgall 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Queens University 2
Linfield 1
Glentoran 3
Portadown 2
Ards 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Crusaders 3
Dundela 0
1/8-finals
Knockbreda 2
Ballinamallard 5
Warrenpoint 1
Ballymena 2
Ballyclare 0
Larne 1
Coleraine 3
Banbridge 0
Dungannon 4
Newry City 2
Cliftonville 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Queens University 2
Glentoran 3
Carrick Rangers 1
Crusaders 5
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 0
Ballymena 2
Larne 2
Coleraine 3
Dungannon 1
Cliftonville 2
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Semi-finals
Ballymena 2
Coleraine 1
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 2
Final
Ballymena 1
Glentoran 2