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Fjallabyggd vs KFG Gardabaer

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gretarsson A.
58' Event
Barddal J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 2024 game between Fjallabyggd and KFG Gardabaer finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Fjallabyggd
15%
Draws
85%
KFG Gardabaer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFG Gardabaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KFG Gardabaer come out ahead of Fjallabyggd on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans KFG Gardabaer's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Fjallabyggd Clean Sheet 20%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fjallabyggd KFG Gardabaer
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 6 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 1.23 1.95
Goals Conceded 2.4 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 Division 2
Fjallabyggd vs KFG Gardabaer
1:1
May 4, 2024 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Fjallabyggd
2:0
Sep 9, 2023 Division 2
Fjallabyggd vs KFG Gardabaer
3:2
Jul 1, 2023 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Fjallabyggd
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fjallabyggd Compare

Top Goalscorer Gretarsson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Barddal J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fjallabyggd 10 / 100
KFG Gardabaer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fjallabyggd KFG Gardabaer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KFG Gardabaer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KFG Gardabaer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 39 matches.

Fjallabyggd found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: KFG Gardabaer registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS KFG Gardabaer
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fjallabyggd

(Home)
21 Mar
Tindastoll
3 : 1
Fjallabyggd
29 Mar
Fjallabyggd
3 : 5
Tindastoll
14 Sept
Fjallabyggd
2 : 3
Hottur / Huginn
08 Sept
Haukar
5 : 1
Fjallabyggd
31 Aug
Throttur Vogar
5 : 0
Fjallabyggd
Page 1 of 6

KFG Gardabaer

(Away)
12 Sept
Selfoss
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1
Olafsvik
29 Aug
Dalvik/Reynir
2 : 0
KFG Gardabaer
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5
KFG Gardabaer
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Selfoss 22 16 3 3 51:27 51
2 Volsungur 22 13 4 5 50:29 43
3 Throttur Vogar 22 13 3 6 58:33 42
4 Olafsvik 22 12 6 4 50:30 42
5 KFA 22 11 2 9 52:46 35
6 Haukar 22 9 3 10 40:42 30
7 Hottur / Huginn 22 9 3 10 41:50 30
8 Aegir 22 6 7 9 29:35 25
9 KFG Gardabaer 22 6 5 11 38:43 23
10 Kormakur/Hvot 22 5 4 13 19:42 19
11 Fjallabyggd 22 5 3 14 26:50 18
12 Reynir 22 4 3 15 28:55 15
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