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Fjallabyggd vs Throttur Vogar

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Arnarsson J.
20' Event
Palsson H.
45' Event
Arnarsson J.

AI Match Summary

Throttur Vogar in this Division 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Throttur Vogar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Fjallabyggd
15%
Draws
85%
Throttur Vogar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Throttur Vogar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Throttur Vogar have won more games recently than Fjallabyggd.
  • Model gives Throttur Vogar a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Throttur Vogar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Fjallabyggd Clean Sheet 20%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fjallabyggd Throttur Vogar
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.28 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Fjallabyggd
5:0
Jun 29, 2024 Division 2
Fjallabyggd vs Throttur Vogar
0:5
Aug 2, 2023 Division 2
Fjallabyggd vs Throttur Vogar
3:2
May 27, 2023 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Fjallabyggd
1:0
Aug 14, 2021 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Fjallabyggd
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fjallabyggd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Throttur Vogar Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnarsson J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Palsson H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fjallabyggd 10 / 100
Throttur Vogar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fjallabyggd Throttur Vogar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur Vogar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Throttur Vogar conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Fjallabyggd scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Throttur Vogar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Throttur Vogar
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fjallabyggd

(Home)
21 Mar
Tindastoll
3 : 1
Fjallabyggd
29 Mar
Fjallabyggd
3 : 5
Tindastoll
14 Sept
Fjallabyggd
2 : 3
Hottur / Huginn
08 Sept
Haukar
5 : 1
Fjallabyggd
31 Aug
Throttur Vogar
5 : 0
Fjallabyggd
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Throttur Vogar

(Away)
12 Sept
Throttur Vogar
2 : 1
Magni
05 Sept
Fjolnir
1 : 1
Throttur Vogar
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Selfoss 22 16 3 3 51:27 51
2 Volsungur 22 13 4 5 50:29 43
3 Throttur Vogar 22 13 3 6 58:33 42
4 Olafsvik 22 12 6 4 50:30 42
5 KFA 22 11 2 9 52:46 35
6 Haukar 22 9 3 10 40:42 30
7 Hottur / Huginn 22 9 3 10 41:50 30
8 Aegir 22 6 7 9 29:35 25
9 KFG Gardabaer 22 6 5 11 38:43 23
10 Kormakur/Hvot 22 5 4 13 19:42 19
11 Fjallabyggd 22 5 3 14 26:50 18
12 Reynir 22 4 3 15 28:55 15
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