Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fjolnir vs KA Asvellir

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2021 Fjölnisvöllur, Grafarvogur
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Gunnarsson J.
13' Event
Gunnarsson J.
26' Event
Heimisson L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 7-1, with Fjolnir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Fjolnir
20%
Draws
44%
KA Asvellir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: KA Asvellir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fjolnir come out ahead of KA Asvellir on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fjolnir a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Fjolnir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fjolnir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45.6%
Fjolnir Clean Sheet 68%
KA Asvellir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fjolnir KA Asvellir
Matches Played 33 17
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 0
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2.73 2.35
Goals Conceded 2.03 3.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2021 Icelandic Cup
Fjolnir vs KA Asvellir
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fjolnir Compare

Top Goalscorer Gunnarsson J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Heimisson L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

KA Asvellir Compare

Top Goalscorer Atlason E. O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fjolnir 95 / 100
KA Asvellir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fjolnir KA Asvellir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fjolnir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fjolnir's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: KA Asvellir conceded in 88% of 17 recent games.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Fjolnir stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fjolnir VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fjolnir

(Home)
12 Sept
Kormakur/Hvot
1 : 2
Fjolnir
05 Sept
Fjolnir
1 : 1
Throttur Vogar
27 Aug
Hviti
3 : 3
Fjolnir
23 Aug
Kari
1 : 0
Fjolnir
19 Aug
Fjolnir
1 : 2
KFA
Page 1 of 7

KA Asvellir

(Away)
20 Mar
KA Asvellir
0 : 3
Selfoss
19 Apr
KR Reykjavik
11 : 0
KA Asvellir
05 Apr
KA Asvellir
3 : 2
KFR
28 Mar
Vaengirs
1 : 2
KA Asvellir
24 Apr
KA Asvellir
2 : 9
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Midas 0
Augnablik 12
Aegir 4
IBU 0
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Bjorninn 0
KA Asvellir 3
KFG Gardabaer 0
Alftanes 2
Ellidi 2
IR Reykjavik 3
Selfoss 0
Kordrengir 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Reynir 1
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lettir 1
Vidir 2
Fram 8
Hordur Isafjordur 0
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alafoss 2
GG Grindavik 1
Njardvik 3
KH Hlidarendi 0
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 1
Throttur Vogar 3
TBD -
Grotta -
Berserkir 5
KFS 6
Kria 13
Afrika Reykjavik 1
KB Breidholt 1
Throttur 6
Olafsvik 18
Gullfalkinn 0
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Afturelding 2
SR Reykjavik 1
RB Keflavik 0
Hamar 0
Vestri 3
Ymir 1
KFR 2
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Magni -
Smari 1
Grindavik 4
Hviti 4
Arborg 1
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Tindastoll 0
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 2
Hamrarnir 3
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 7
Einherji 1
Fylkir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vatnaliljur 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
Ulfarnir 2
Isbjorninn 0
Dalvik/Reynir 7
Samherjar 1
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
KFB 0
Stokkseyri 5
KM Reykjavik 0
Haukar 4
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
TBD -
Sindri -
Kari -
Vaengirs -
Snaefell 1
Skallagrimur 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
1/32-finals
Augnablik 4
Aegir 0
Fjolnir 7
KA Asvellir 1
Alftanes 0
IR Reykjavik 2
Kordrengir 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Akranes -
TBD -
Vidir 0
Fram 2
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
Alafoss 0
Njardvik 5
Kopavogur -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar 1
Grotta 3
KFS 4
Kria 0
Throttur 1
Olafsvik 3
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Afturelding 8
SR Reykjavik 0
Vestri 1
KFR 0
Thor Akureyri 3
Magni 0
Grindavik 3
Hviti 0
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Volsungur 9
Hamrarnir 1
Leiknir Faskruds 3
Hottur / Huginn 0
Fylkir -
TBD -
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Ulfarnir 3
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Fjallabyggd 3
Stokkseyri 0
Haukar 7
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Fjardabyggd 0
Sindri 2
Kari 5
Skallagrimur 1
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
1/16-finals
Augnablik 1
Fjolnir 4
IR Reykjavik 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Akranes 3
Fram 0
Hafnarfjordur 4
Njardvik 1
Kopavogur 2
Grotta 1
KFS 4
Olafsvik 2
Keflavik 2
Breidablik 0
Stjarnan 1
KA Akureyri 2
Afturelding 1
Vestri 2
Thor Akureyri 2
Grindavik 1
Valur 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Volsungur 2
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Fylkir 7
Ulfarnir 0
Fjallabyggd 1
Haukar 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Sindri 0
Kari 1
KR Reykjavik 2
1/8-finals
Fjolnir 2
IR Reykjavik 3
Akranes 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
Kopavogur 7
KFS 1
Keflavik 3
KA Akureyri 1
Vestri 4
Thor Akureyri 0
Valur 6
Volsungur 0
Fylkir 2
Haukar 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
IR Reykjavik 1
Akranes 3
Kopavogur 3
Keflavik 5
Vestri 2
Valur 1
Fylkir 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Semi-finals
Akranes 2
Keflavik 0
Vestri 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Final
Akranes 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 3