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Fjolnir vs KFG Gardabaer

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Vilhjalmsson E.
39' Event
Hafstein B. T.
55' Event
Hafthorsson V.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Fjolnir and KFG Gardabaer finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fjolnir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Fjolnir
15%
Draws
51%
KFG Gardabaer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: KFG Gardabaer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • KFG Gardabaer haven't matched Fjolnir's recent run of results.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Fjolnir taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 85.80000000000001%
Fjolnir Clean Sheet 11%
KFG Gardabaer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fjolnir KFG Gardabaer
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 2.24 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.24 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 2
Fjolnir vs KFG Gardabaer
4:1
Jun 1, 2026 Division 2
KFG Gardabaer vs Fjolnir
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fjolnir Compare

Top Goalscorer Hafthorsson V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vilhjalmsson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

KFG Gardabaer Compare

Top Goalscorer Biberdzic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fjolnir 83 / 100
KFG Gardabaer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fjolnir KFG Gardabaer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fjolnir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fjolnir found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: KFG Gardabaer conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: KFG Gardabaer has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fjolnir VS KFG Gardabaer
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fjolnir

(Home)
23 Aug
Kari
1 : 0
Fjolnir
19 Aug
Fjolnir
1 : 2
KFA
15 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 2
Fjolnir
08 Aug
Fjolnir
4 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
29 Jul
Olafsvik
2 : 2
Fjolnir
Page 1 of 6

KFG Gardabaer

(Away)
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Hviti
0 : 5
KFG Gardabaer
15 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
3 : 4
KFA
08 Aug
Fjolnir
4 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
29 Jul
Haukar
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 19 14 2 3 50:25 44
2 Selfoss 19 10 6 3 45:34 36
3 Kari 19 8 9 2 48:29 33
4 Olafsvik 19 8 4 7 27:33 28
5 KFA 19 8 2 9 46:36 26
6 Fjolnir 19 7 4 8 43:41 25
7 Magni 19 7 4 8 34:44 25
8 Kormakur/Hvot 19 6 6 7 35:30 24
9 Dalvik/Reynir 19 6 4 9 28:34 22
10 Throttur Vogar 19 6 1 12 30:38 19
11 KFG Gardabaer 19 6 1 12 33:53 19
12 Hviti 19 3 7 9 21:43 16
Promotion - Division 1 2027 (Main)