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FK Aluksne vs Bebri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with FK Aluksne advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
FK Aluksne
15%
Draws
24%
Bebri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Aluksne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Bebri carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FK Aluksne's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Bebri arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Aluksne, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FK Aluksne Clean Sheet 20%
Bebri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Aluksne Bebri
Matches Played 4 31
Wins 2 5
Draws 0 4
Losses 2 22
Goals Scored 3.25 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.25 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2011 Latvian Cup
FK Aluksne vs Bebri
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Aluksne 85 / 100
Bebri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Aluksne Bebri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Aluksne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bebri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: FK Aluksne scored in 75% of their last 4 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Bebri has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bebri
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 3.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Aluksne

(Home)
19 Jun
FK Aluksne
0 : 3
Upesciems
04 Jun
FK Aluksne
2 : 0
Bebri
22 Aug
FK Aluksne
4 : 5
FK Smiltene
25 Jul
FK Aluksne
7 : 1
FK Alberts

Bebri

(Away)
19 May
Upesciema Warriors
3 : 1
Bebri
04 May
Bebri
3 : 2
JFC Viola
27 May
Sports United/Cesis
4 : 1
Bebri
22 May
Beitar
4 : 1
Bebri
04 Jul
Aliance
4 : 2
Bebri
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Zelis Gulbene -
TBD -
FK Dobele 0
Marupe 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
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Ozolnieki 4
Mersrags 0
Sigulda 0
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Aluksne 2
Bebri 0
Austrumi 1
Upesciems 2
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Ogre -
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Gulbene -
Jelgava -
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Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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Avantis 3
FK Ergli 0
FK Olaine 0
Iecava 1
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Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
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Grobina 1
Kekava 0
Aizkraukle 0
FK Smiltene 3
Brali 4
Jelgava/Jauniesi 3
Plavinas 3
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
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Rezekne -
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FK Liepaja -
1/64-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Zelis Gulbene 3
Marupe 1
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
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FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
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Ozolnieki 2
FK Auda Riga 6
FK Aluksne 0
Upesciems 3
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
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Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Avantis 0
Iecava 3
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
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Grobina -
FK Smiltene -
Brali 1
FK Madona Kvarcs 6
FK 1625 Liepaja -
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Rezekne -
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FK Liepaja -
1/32-finals
Skonto -
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Zelis Gulbene 0
RFS 12
FK Metta 3
BFC Daugavpils 1
TBD -
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TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
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Ozolnieki 4
Upesciems 1
FK Auda Riga 0
Tukums 2000 2
Valmiera 4
Ogre 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala 5
Iecava 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina 0
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
FK 1625 Liepaja 2
Rezekne 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/16-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
Ozolnieki 0
Tukums 2000 3
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/8-finals
Skonto 2
RFS 0
FK Metta 0
FC Jurmala 3
FK Daugava Riga 4
Tukums 2000 0
Valmiera 1
Gulbene 3
Jelgava 3
Olimps Riga 1
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Ventspils 2
FC Daugava Daugavpils 11
FK Madona Kvarcs 0
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Liepaja 3
Quarter-finals
Skonto 1
FC Jurmala 0
FK Daugava Riga 1
Gulbene 3
Jelgava 2
Ventspils 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
FK Liepaja 1
Semi-finals
Skonto 1
Gulbene 0
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 4
Final
Skonto 2
FK Liepaja 1