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FK Aluksne vs Upesciems

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Upesciems advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
FK Aluksne
15%
Draws
24%
Upesciems
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Aluksne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Upesciems carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FK Aluksne are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Upesciems arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Upesciems, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
FK Aluksne Clean Sheet 10%
Upesciems Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Aluksne Upesciems
Matches Played 4 20
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 3.25 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2011 Latvian Cup
FK Aluksne vs Upesciems
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Aluksne 83 / 100
Upesciems 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Aluksne Upesciems

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Aluksne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Upesciems has conceded goals in 84% of their last 19 outings.

Attacking prowess: FK Aluksne scored in 75% of their last 4 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Upesciems registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Aluksne VS Upesciems
3.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Aluksne

(Home)
19 Jun
FK Aluksne
0 : 3
Upesciems
04 Jun
FK Aluksne
2 : 0
Bebri
22 Aug
FK Aluksne
4 : 5
FK Smiltene
25 Jul
FK Aluksne
7 : 1
FK Alberts

Upesciems

(Away)
22 May
Upesciems
0 : 3
Dobele Allegro
18 Jul
Upesciems
2 : 4
Speks
03 Aug
Upesciems
1 : 3
FK Limbazi
17 Jun
Bebri
3 : 0
Upesciems
02 Jun
Upesciems
5 : 2
Lubana
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zelis Gulbene -
TBD -
FK Dobele 0
Marupe 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ozolnieki 4
Mersrags 0
Sigulda 0
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Aluksne 2
Bebri 0
Austrumi 1
Upesciems 2
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre -
TBD -
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Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avantis 3
FK Ergli 0
FK Olaine 0
Iecava 1
TBD -
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Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
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TBD -
TBD -
Grobina 1
Kekava 0
Aizkraukle 0
FK Smiltene 3
Brali 4
Jelgava/Jauniesi 3
Plavinas 3
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/64-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zelis Gulbene 3
Marupe 1
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Ozolnieki 2
FK Auda Riga 6
FK Aluksne 0
Upesciems 3
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
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Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Avantis 0
Iecava 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
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Grobina -
FK Smiltene -
Brali 1
FK Madona Kvarcs 6
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
TBD -
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FK Liepaja -
1/32-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
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Zelis Gulbene 0
RFS 12
FK Metta 3
BFC Daugavpils 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
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TBD -
Ozolnieki 4
Upesciems 1
FK Auda Riga 0
Tukums 2000 2
Valmiera 4
Ogre 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala 5
Iecava 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina 0
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
FK 1625 Liepaja 2
Rezekne 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/16-finals
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Jurmala -
FK Daugava Riga -
TBD -
Ozolnieki 0
Tukums 2000 3
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
Gulbene -
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimps Riga -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/8-finals
Skonto 2
RFS 0
FK Metta 0
FC Jurmala 3
FK Daugava Riga 4
Tukums 2000 0
Valmiera 1
Gulbene 3
Jelgava 3
Olimps Riga 1
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Ventspils 2
FC Daugava Daugavpils 11
FK Madona Kvarcs 0
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Liepaja 3
Quarter-finals
Skonto 1
FC Jurmala 0
FK Daugava Riga 1
Gulbene 3
Jelgava 2
Ventspils 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
FK Liepaja 1
Semi-finals
Skonto 1
Gulbene 0
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 4
Final
Skonto 2
FK Liepaja 1