Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Atmosfera vs Garliava

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Odincovas L.
68' Event
Seki K.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between FK Atmosfera and Garliava finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FK Atmosfera
39%
Draws
31%
Garliava
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Atmosfera come out ahead of Garliava on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 16%
Garliava Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Atmosfera Garliava
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Garliava
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Atmosfera
0:1
Jun 8, 2024 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Garliava
3:2
Oct 7, 2022 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Garliava
2:3
Jun 3, 2022 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Atmosfera
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Atmosfera Compare

Top Goalscorer Seki K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Garliava Compare

Top Goalscorer Odincovas L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Atmosfera 30 / 100
Garliava 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Atmosfera Garliava

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Atmosfera scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Garliava conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: FK Atmosfera remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Atmosfera VS Garliava
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Minija15131139:940
2FK Babrungas15123026:439
3BE1 NFA15102328:1532
4Neptunas1591520:1728
5Tauras Taurage1591527:1628
6Dainava Alytus1583426:1527
7Garliava1564522:1422
8BFA Vilnius1571718:2422
9FK Atmosfera1563623:1721
10Zalgiris 21553721:2518
11Jonava1545618:2017
12Transinvest 21542913:3614
13Hegelmann Litauen 215411016:3213
14Ekranas15211215:297
15FK Kauno Zalgiris 21521127:247
16Siauliai 215141013:357