Sport Picks
Match Events
49'
49'
Odincovas L.
68'
68'
Seki K.
AI Match Summary
The I Lyga game between FK Atmosfera and Garliava finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Atmosfera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FK Atmosfera come out ahead of Garliava on wins alone.
- FK Atmosfera are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 20%
Garliava Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FK Atmosfera | Garliava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Garliava
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Atmosfera
0:1
Jun 8, 2024 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Garliava
3:2
Oct 7, 2022 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Garliava
2:3
Jun 3, 2022 I Lyga
Garliava vs FK Atmosfera
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
FK Atmosfera Compare
Top Goalscorer Seki K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Garliava Compare
Top Goalscorer Odincovas L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FK Atmosfera 49 / 100
Garliava 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FK Atmosfera Garliava
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Atmosfera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Difficult form: Garliava registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
FK Atmosfera found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Garliava conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
FK Atmosfera VS Garliava
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
FK Atmosfera
(Home) 11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2 FK Atmosfera
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1 Tauras Taurage
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1 FK Atmosfera
22 Aug
Dainava Alytus
1 : 1 FK Atmosfera
14 Aug
Transinvest 2
2 : 0 FK Atmosfera
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1 Tauras Taurage
08 Aug
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1 Siauliai 2
25 Jul
FK Atmosfera
4 : 1 Hegelmann Litauen 2
01 Jul
FK Atmosfera
0 : 1 BE1 NFA
20 Jun
FK Atmosfera
0 : 1 FK Minija
Page 1 of 3
Garliava
(Away) 12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3 BFA Vilnius
05 Sept
Ekranas
1 : 0 Garliava
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
21 Aug
BE1 NFA
2 : 0 Garliava
15 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Ekranas
1 : 0 Garliava
21 Aug
BE1 NFA
2 : 0 Garliava
07 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 1 Garliava
25 Jul
Jonava
1 : 0 Garliava
13 Jun
Zalgiris 2
2 : 1 Garliava
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 23 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 61:12 | 61 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 42:11 | 58 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 41:24 | 47 |
| 4 | Neptunas | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 32:28 | 44 |
| 5 | Zalgiris 2 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 38:31 | 43 |
| 6 | BFA Vilnius | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38:34 | 42 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 40:29 | 40 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 33:23 | 37 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 36:32 | 29 |
| 10 | Jonava | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 26:30 | 27 |
| 11 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 30:55 | 22 |
| 12 | Garliava | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 25:27 | 22 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 28:56 | 21 |
| 14 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 20:36 | 19 |
| 15 | Ekranas | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 23:52 | 14 |
| 16 | Siauliai 2 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 21:54 | 14 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)
