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FK Atmosfera vs Tauras Taurage - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Statkus M.
71' Event
Adah J.
73' Event
Girdvainis G.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between FK Atmosfera and Tauras Taurage finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Atmosfera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
FK Atmosfera
35%
Draws
32%
Tauras Taurage
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Tauras Taurage carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 12%
Tauras Taurage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Atmosfera Tauras Taurage
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Tauras Taurage
3:1
May 2, 2026 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs FK Atmosfera
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs FK Atmosfera
0:0
May 31, 2025 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Tauras Taurage
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Tauras Taurage
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Atmosfera Compare

Top Goalscorer Adah J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Girdvainis G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Tauras Taurage Compare

Top Goalscorer Statkus M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Atmosfera 29 / 100
Tauras Taurage 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Atmosfera Tauras Taurage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Atmosfera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Atmosfera found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Tauras Taurage let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: FK Atmosfera remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Atmosfera VS Tauras Taurage
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Atmosfera

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2
FK Atmosfera
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1
Tauras Taurage
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1
FK Atmosfera
22 Aug
Dainava Alytus
1 : 1
FK Atmosfera
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Tauras Taurage

(Away)
18 Sept
Jonava
2 : 3
Tauras Taurage
12 Sept
Tauras Taurage
0 : 1
Zalgiris 2
05 Sept
FK Atmosfera
3 : 1
Tauras Taurage
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1
Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)